Sha Tin · 2020-03-29
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ABOVE Closed strongly B 2.02.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Moore | J Moreira | J Moore | 7 | 2.2 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | GOOD DAYS Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 8 | 28.0 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | DEFINING MOMENT Closed strongly Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 13 | 6.7 | 6-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | KING PRINT B- T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 3 | 135.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | BULLISH GLORY Closed strongly H C Wong · C W Chang | C Wong | C W Chang | 1 | 57.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | EXALTATION Closed strongly B/TT C Schofield · A S Cruz | C Schofield | A S Cruz | 9 | 102.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | GALA NIGHT Led early CP K C Leung · J Moore | K C Leung | J Moore | 5 | 4.7 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | CHEERFUL STAR Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 12 | 13.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | HAPPY ROCKY Closed strongly B/TT G van Niekerk · C W Chang | G van Niekerk | C W Chang | 14 | 38.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER B2 C Y Ho · D E Ferraris | C Y Ho | D E Ferraris | 2 | 19.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | GAYSON B/XB N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 11 | 24.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | HAPPY WIN WIN XB-/TT- M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 4 | 11.0 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | WILLIE WAY B B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 53.0 | 14-3/4 |
| — | 0 | GARLIC YEAH V M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 6 | 27.0 | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2020-03-29 was Class 4 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. ABOVE, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Moore, won by 6, with GOOD DAYS second and DEFINING MOMENT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ABOVE | 21.1% | 4.74 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | GALA NIGHT | 18.8% | 5.32 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | DEFINING MOMENT | 11.6% | 8.59 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | CHEERFUL STAR | 11.0% | 9.12 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | HAPPY WIN WIN | 6.1% | 16.34 | 12 |
| 6 | 0 | BULLISH GLORY | 5.9% | 16.84 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | GAYSON | 5.9% | 17.02 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | EXALTATION | 4.9% | 20.50 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER | 4.2% | 23.98 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | HAPPY ROCKY | 3.8% | 26.06 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | GOOD DAYS | 3.7% | 26.89 | 2 |
| 12 | 0 | WILLIE WAY | 1.8% | 54.38 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | KING PRINT | 1.1% | 89.38 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 22.5
PLACE
3 12.5
4 19.5
11 52.5
QUINELLA
3,11 314
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 40
3,11 91.5
4,11 195.5
TIERCE
3,11,4 2,561
TRIO
3,4,11 503
FIRST 4
3,4,11,14 12,330
QUARTET
3,11,4,14 127,112
1ST DOUBLE
13/3 436
13/11 377
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 15
A2 —
A3 —