Sha Tin · 2020-03-29
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BAND OF BROTHERS Closed strongly 1.35.25 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 2.7 | N |
| 2 | 0 | RIGHT CHOICE Closed strongly B K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 14 | 14.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | HIGH REV Closed strongly B/XB B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 2 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | MONICA Closed strongly B/TT N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 6 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | NOBLE STEED Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 86.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | COT CAMPBELL B G van Niekerk · A T Millard | G van Niekerk | A T Millard | 13 | 8.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | ENZEMBLE H/XB J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 8 | 5.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | CHARITY GO SR K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 4 | 22.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | BEAUTY RUSH Led early V M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 5 | 19.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SMART PATCH Closed strongly B H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 1 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | MR ALDAN Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · A S Cruz | V Borges | A S Cruz | 9 | 34.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | LOBO'S LEGEND C Schofield · D E Ferraris | C Schofield | D E Ferraris | 12 | 15.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | THUNDER STOMP H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 11 | 251.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | RIGHT HONOURABLE H/P/TT M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 7 | 191.0 | 9-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2020-03-29 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. BAND OF BROTHERS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by N, with RIGHT CHOICE second and HIGH REV third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ENZEMBLE | 22.6% | 4.42 | 7 |
| 2 | 0 | BAND OF BROTHERS | 16.0% | 6.27 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | MONICA | 8.8% | 11.31 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | SMART PATCH | 8.7% | 11.47 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | BEAUTY RUSH | 7.4% | 13.49 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | RIGHT CHOICE | 5.8% | 17.10 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | LOBO'S LEGEND | 5.5% | 18.31 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | CHARITY GO | 4.8% | 20.86 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | COT CAMPBELL | 4.8% | 20.93 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | MR ALDAN | 3.8% | 26.62 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | NOBLE STEED | 3.6% | 27.54 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | HIGH REV | 3.3% | 30.64 | 3 |
| 13 | 0 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 2.5% | 40.12 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | THUNDER STOMP | 2.4% | 41.17 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 27
PLACE
2 31.5
4 14.5
6 39
QUINELLA
4,6 194
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 63.5
2,6 183.5
4,6 68
TIERCE
4,6,2 1,405
TRIO
2,4,6 502
FIRST 4
2,4,6,7 1,078
QUARTET
4,6,2,7 16,110
3 PICK 1
A1 18
A3 —
A2 —
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
12/4 222
12/6 233