Sha Tin · 2020-03-29
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2020-03-29 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GRADE ONE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by 1/2, with TEAM POWER second and VICTORY MASTERY third. The 1.8 favourite JADE PHOENIX finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | GRADE ONE B 1.10.25 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 3.9 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | TEAM POWER C Schofield · P F Yiu | C Schofield | P F Yiu | 13 | 9.2 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 12 | VICTORY MASTERY PC N Callan · J Size | N Callan | J Size | 2 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | STOCK LEGEND B/H K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 14 | 324.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | JADE PHOENIX B J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 4 | 1.8 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | HERO STAR CP- C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 8 | 18.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 14 | GALLANT LEGACY SR/TT G van Niekerk · C W Chang | G van Niekerk | C W Chang | 1 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | SO AWESOME V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 3 | 358.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | GOKO B/TT H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 6 | 106.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | RUN THE TABLE B1/H1 K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 5 | 259.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | SPEEDY DRAGON B- M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 9 | 27.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 4 | BEAUT BEAUT V-/H T H So · L Ho | T H So | L Ho | 7 | 212.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 13 | SUPER EIGHTEEN B C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 10 | 68.0 | 11 |
| 14 | 3 | ARDENODE TT H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 11 | 113.0 | 11 |
| — | 0 | XPONENTIAL M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | JADE PHOENIX | 35.6% | 2.81 | 5 |
| 2 | 2 | GRADE ONE | 13.4% | 7.44 | 1 |
| 3 | 12 | VICTORY MASTERY | 9.2% | 10.91 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | TEAM POWER | 8.8% | 11.35 | 2 |
| 5 | 14 | GALLANT LEGACY | 7.1% | 14.01 | 7 |
| 6 | 10 | SPEEDY DRAGON | 5.7% | 17.65 | 11 |
| 7 | 7 | HERO STAR | 4.7% | 21.18 | 6 |
| 8 | 13 | SUPER EIGHTEEN | 4.0% | 25.08 | 13 |
| 9 | 11 | STOCK LEGEND | 3.9% | 25.41 | 4 |
| 10 | 8 | RUN THE TABLE | 2.4% | 41.93 | 10 |
| 11 | 3 | ARDENODE | 1.6% | 64.34 | 14 |
| 12 | 4 | BEAUT BEAUT | 1.5% | 64.97 | 12 |
| 13 | 1 | GOKO | 1.3% | 75.20 | 9 |
| 14 | 9 | SO AWESOME | 0.8% | 131.67 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 39.5
PLACE
2 14
6 24
12 21.5
QUINELLA
2,6 146.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 50.5
2,12 57.5
6,12 79
TIERCE
2,6,12 1,518
TRIO
2,6,12 392
FIRST 4
2,6,11,12 11,516
QUARTET
2,6,12,11 90,890
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 12.5
All pools (1 more)
4TH DOUBLE
10/2 324.5
10/6 205.5