Sha Tin · 2020-03-29
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | JUNEAU PARK Closed strongly 1.22.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 1 | 2.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | TELECOM ROCKET Closed strongly CP G van Niekerk · Y S Tsui | G van Niekerk | Y S Tsui | 12 | 5.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly B K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 5 | 8.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | SPEED FAY FAY B1 V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 14 | 69.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | REGENCY GEM Led early B/TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 6 | 38.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | VICTORIOUS LEADER Closed strongly M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 7 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | EVER STRONG Closed strongly P C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 13 | 268.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | GREEN ENVY Closed strongly B-/TT1 N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 3 | 216.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | THE RUNNER B C Schofield · D J Whyte | C Schofield | D J Whyte | 10 | 21.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | DESTIN B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 11.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | MISTER MONTE Closed strongly B C Wong · C W Chang | C Wong | C W Chang | 8 | 210.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE H/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 9 | 42.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | SAM'S LOVE TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 4 | 6.7 | 14-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | GENERAL CASTLEDALE TT H N Wong · D E Ferraris | H N Wong | D E Ferraris | 11 | 514.0 | 17-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2020-03-29 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. JUNEAU PARK, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by 1/2, with TELECOM ROCKET second and WINWIN THIRTYTHREE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | JUNEAU PARK | 34.0% | 2.94 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 12.2% | 8.22 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | SAM'S LOVE | 10.6% | 9.41 | 13 |
| 4 | 0 | TELECOM ROCKET | 10.1% | 9.92 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | REGENCY GEM | 7.1% | 14.15 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | VICTORIOUS LEADER | 5.7% | 17.46 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | DESTIN | 5.4% | 18.68 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | THE RUNNER | 4.7% | 21.49 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | MISTER MONTE | 3.1% | 32.57 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | SPEED FAY FAY | 2.0% | 51.10 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | EVER STRONG | 1.9% | 52.00 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE | 1.5% | 66.85 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | GREEN ENVY | 1.4% | 71.38 | 8 |
| 14 | 0 | GENERAL CASTLEDALE | 0.5% | 207.75 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 20.5
PLACE
1 12
4 17
13 23
QUINELLA
1,4 68.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 31
1,13 42.5
4,13 62
TIERCE
1,4,13 611
TRIO
1,4,13 151
FIRST 4
1,4,7,13 2,050
QUARTET
1,4,13,7 16,489
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 16.5
A3 —
All pools (3 more)
5TH DOUBLE
2/1 135.5
2/4 85
TRIPLE TRIO
1,10,12/2,6,12/1,4,13 950,367
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,10,12/2,6,12/Any Combination 6,631