Sha Tin · 2020-03-29
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2020-03-29 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. FANTASY, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C S Shum, won by 2, with HANDSOME BO BO second and BRIGHT VISION third. Victory came as the 1.5 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | FANTASY B/TT 1.09.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 6 | 1.5 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | HANDSOME BO BO SR Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 5 | 3.3 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | BRIGHT VISION K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 11 | 145.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | MONSTER KAKA M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 1 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | GOOD BEAUTY CP/TT M F Poon · J Moore | M F Poon | J Moore | 2 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | TEAM SPIRIT B/TT C Schofield · W Y So | C Schofield | W Y So | 8 | 28.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | FEARLESS FIRE B C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 7 | 102.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | NUREMBERG B/TT H N Wong · A S Cruz | H N Wong | A S Cruz | 3 | 472.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | URBAN DANCER B Shinn · T P Yung | B Shinn | T P Yung | 4 | 53.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | LE TERROIR CP C Wong · L Ho | C Wong | L Ho | 12 | 108.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | BRAVE KING B- V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 9 | 376.0 | 12 |
| — | 8 | BIZ POWER K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | FANTASY | 60.6% | 1.65 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | HANDSOME BO BO | 11.9% | 8.42 | 2 |
| 3 | 12 | MONSTER KAKA | 9.0% | 11.11 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | GOOD BEAUTY | 8.6% | 11.56 | 5 |
| 5 | 1 | TEAM SPIRIT | 3.7% | 27.14 | 6 |
| 6 | 4 | LE TERROIR | 1.8% | 54.41 | 10 |
| 7 | 10 | FEARLESS FIRE | 1.2% | 83.26 | 7 |
| 8 | 5 | URBAN DANCER | 1.0% | 96.06 | 9 |
| 9 | 7 | BRIGHT VISION | 1.0% | 103.80 | 3 |
| 10 | 6 | BRAVE KING | 0.6% | 179.65 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | NUREMBERG | 0.5% | 183.03 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 15
PLACE
3 14.5
7 155
9 10.1
QUINELLA
3,9 22.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 306
3,9 14
7,9 201.5
TIERCE
9,3,7 1,062
TRIO
3,7,9 404
FIRST 4
3,7,9,12 697
QUARTET
9,3,7,12 5,917
2ND DOUBLE
3/3 16
3/8,9 45.5
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 15