沙田 · 2020-04-12
第 2場
2020-04-12沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Schofield策騎、R Gibson訓練的PRAWN YEAH YEAH勝出，贏出1-1/4。DEMONS ROCK獲得亞軍；JIMSON THE DRAGON獲得季軍。5.0倍大熱門JIMSON THE DRAGON跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | PRAWN YEAH YEAH B/TT 0.57.73 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 3 | 25.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 9 | DEMONS ROCK B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 13 | 5.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 12 | JIMSON THE DRAGON B/XB/TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 14 | 5.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 13 | WHISTLE UP B1 J Moreira · L Ho | J Moreira | L Ho | 9 | 6.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | BELLA BABY XB/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 8 | 9.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | FLYING MONKEY TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 4 | 27.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | ROMAN ODYSSEY TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 11 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | U W BROTHER B N Callan · Y S Tsui | N Callan | Y S Tsui | 5 | 6.4 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 14 | TIGERLAD B C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 2 | 43.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | HARBOUR ALERT CP-/TT V Borges · C W Chang | V Borges | C W Chang | 10 | 33.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | TREASURE CHEST CP H W Lai · P F Yiu | H W Lai | P F Yiu | 12 | 11.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | FAIRY FLOSS B/H M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 7 | 12.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 5 | TANG TREASURE B/TT A Hamelin · D E Ferraris | A Hamelin | D E Ferraris | 6 | 83.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 14 | 3 | DRAGON BOLT B-/H1 K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 1 | 171.0 | 13 |
| — | 0 | SPEEDY MISSILE · K H Ting | — | K H Ting | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | WHISTLE UP | 16.0% | 6.24 | 4 |
| 2 | 11 | FAIRY FLOSS | 10.4% | 9.60 | 12 |
| 3 | 6 | PRAWN YEAH YEAH | 10.2% | 9.83 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | JIMSON THE DRAGON | 9.8% | 10.26 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | U W BROTHER | 8.9% | 11.28 | 8 |
| 6 | 9 | DEMONS ROCK | 8.3% | 12.00 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | TREASURE CHEST | 7.8% | 12.78 | 11 |
| 8 | 7 | ROMAN ODYSSEY | 6.1% | 16.35 | 7 |
| 9 | 1 | BELLA BABY | 5.6% | 17.95 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | FLYING MONKEY | 5.2% | 19.29 | 6 |
| 11 | 14 | TIGERLAD | 4.6% | 21.68 | 9 |
| 12 | 5 | TANG TREASURE | 3.2% | 31.74 | 13 |
| 13 | 4 | HARBOUR ALERT | 2.6% | 38.04 | 10 |
| 14 | 3 | DRAGON BOLT | 1.3% | 74.48 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 255
PLACE
6 76
9 24
12 19
QUINELLA
6,9 862
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 259
6,12 225
9,12 54
TIERCE
6,9,12 13,373
TRIO
6,9,12 1,542
FIRST 4
6,9,12,13 1,687
QUARTET
6,9,12,13 53,072
1ST DOUBLE
5/6 1,437
5/9 105.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 21