沙田 · 2020-04-12
第 7場
2020-04-12沙田第7場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Hamelin策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的BEST FOR YOU勝出，贏出N。GOLDEN FOUR獲得亞軍；GALACTIC獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.4倍大熱門JADE PHOENIX跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | BEST FOR YOU 後段發力 B 1.22.06 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 2 | 4.3 | N |
| 2 | 8 | GOLDEN FOUR 後段發力 B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 5 | 11.0 | N |
| 3 | 9 | GALACTIC XB J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 14 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | AFTER ME 後段發力 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 4 | 41.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | HARRIER JET 後段發力 B/TT M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 22.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | WINSTON'S LAD H-/B K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 9 | 21.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | JADE PHOENIX B- Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 7 | 3.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | DREAM WARRIORS 後段發力 CP/H/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 13 | 6.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | ROMAN IMPERO B K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 1 | 6.5 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | GREEN ENVY TT N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 3 | 112.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | FORZA ANGEL 早段領放 C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 10 | 75.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | DIAMOND KING B/TT V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 6 | 13.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 1 | AFRICAN SKY 後段發力 CP/TT H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 11 | 404.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 14 | MERIDIAN TALENT B-/H- M L Yeung · R Gibson | M L Yeung | R Gibson | 8 | 177.0 | 15-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | JADE PHOENIX | 26.3% | 3.80 | 7 |
| 2 | 9 | GALACTIC | 20.0% | 4.99 | 3 |
| 3 | 13 | BEST FOR YOU | 10.5% | 9.56 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | ROMAN IMPERO | 8.6% | 11.63 | 9 |
| 5 | 3 | DREAM WARRIORS | 6.1% | 16.43 | 8 |
| 6 | 10 | WINSTON'S LAD | 5.3% | 18.74 | 6 |
| 7 | 6 | HARRIER JET | 5.3% | 18.76 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | GOLDEN FOUR | 4.9% | 20.49 | 2 |
| 9 | 11 | AFTER ME | 3.6% | 28.14 | 4 |
| 10 | 2 | FORZA ANGEL | 3.2% | 30.90 | 11 |
| 11 | 5 | DIAMOND KING | 2.3% | 42.56 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | GREEN ENVY | 1.8% | 56.73 | 10 |
| 13 | 1 | AFRICAN SKY | 1.2% | 81.47 | 13 |
| 14 | 14 | MERIDIAN TALENT | 0.8% | 117.85 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 43.5
PLACE
8 30.5
9 44
13 17
QUINELLA
8,13 225.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,9 202
8,13 81
9,13 116.5
TIERCE
13,8,9 6,001
TRIO
8,9,13 1,008
FIRST 4
8,9,11,13 7,604
QUARTET
13,8,9,11 96,561
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 22.5
A1 —
全部彩池（另 2 項）
6TH DOUBLE
1/8 58.5
1/13 457.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
5,10,12/Any Combination/Any Combination 156