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Sha Tin · 2020-04-12

Race 7

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course C 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.06
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 BEST FOR YOU Closed strongly B 1.22.06 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · Y S Tsui 2 4.3 N
2 0 GOLDEN FOUR Closed strongly B Shinn · C W Chang 5 11.0 N
3 0 GALACTIC XB J Moreira · D J Whyte 14 13.0 1/2
4 0 AFTER ME Closed strongly M F Poon · P F Yiu 4 41.0 1/2
5 0 HARRIER JET Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan 12 22.0 1-1/4
6 0 WINSTON'S LAD H-/B K C Leung · K W Lui 9 21.0 1-1/4
7 0 JADE PHOENIX B- Z Purton · F C Lor 7 3.4 2-3/4
8 0 DREAM WARRIORS Closed strongly CP/H/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz 13 6.5 3-1/2
9 0 ROMAN IMPERO B K H Chan · C H Yip 1 6.5 4-1/4
10 0 GREEN ENVY TT N Callan · C Fownes 3 112.0 4-1/4
11 0 FORZA ANGEL Led early C Wong · Y S Tsui 10 75.0 4-3/4
12 0 DIAMOND KING B/TT V Borges · T P Yung 6 13.0 6-3/4
13 0 AFRICAN SKY Closed strongly CP/TT H N Wong · K H Ting 11 404.0 7-3/4
14 0 MERIDIAN TALENT B-/H- M L Yeung · R Gibson 8 177.0 15-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-04-12 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. BEST FOR YOU, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by Y S Tsui, won by N, with GOLDEN FOUR second and GALACTIC third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite JADE PHOENIX finished 7th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BEST FOR YOU—2. GOLDEN FOUR+0.05L3. GALACTIC+0.5L4. AFTER ME+0.5L5. HARRIER JET+1.25L6. WINSTON'S LAD+1.25L7. JADE PHOENIX+2.75L8. DREAM WARRIORS+3.5L9. ROMAN IMPERO+4.25L10. GREEN ENVY+4.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick JADE PHOENIX (26.3%) finished 7th — the winner BEST FOR YOU was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 JADE PHOENIX 26.3% 3.80 7
2 0 GALACTIC 20.0% 4.99 3
3 0 BEST FOR YOU 10.5% 9.56 1
4 0 ROMAN IMPERO 8.6% 11.63 9
5 0 DREAM WARRIORS 6.1% 16.43 8
6 0 WINSTON'S LAD 5.3% 18.74 6
7 0 HARRIER JET 5.3% 18.76 5
8 0 GOLDEN FOUR 4.9% 20.49 2
9 0 AFTER ME 3.6% 28.14 4
10 0 FORZA ANGEL 3.2% 30.90 11
11 0 DIAMOND KING 2.3% 42.56 12
12 0 GREEN ENVY 1.8% 56.73 10
13 0 AFRICAN SKY 1.2% 81.47 13
14 0 MERIDIAN TALENT 0.8% 117.85 14
JADE PHOENIXGALACTICBEST FOR YOU — wonROMAN IMPERODREAM WARRIORSWINSTON'S LADHARRIER JETGOLDEN FOURAFTER MEFORZA ANGELDIAMOND KINGGREEN ENVYAFRICAN SKYMERIDIAN TALENT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

13 43.5

PLACE

8 30.5

9 44

13 17

QUINELLA

8,13 225.5

QUINELLA PLACE

8,9 202

8,13 81

9,13 116.5

TIERCE

13,8,9 6,001

TRIO

8,9,13 1,008

FIRST 4

8,9,11,13 7,604

QUARTET

13,8,9,11 96,561

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A2 —

A3 22.5

All pools (2 more)

6TH DOUBLE

1/8 58.5

1/13 457.5

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

5,10,12/Any Combination/Any Combination 156