Sha Tin · 2020-04-12
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE Closed strongly B 1.22.16 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 10 | 6.4 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | PARTY GENIUS Closed strongly XB Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 12 | 3.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | STUNNING IMPACT Closed strongly B1 K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 12.0 | N |
| 4 | 0 | BULLETPROOF Closed strongly M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 1 | 32.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | CIRCUIT HASSLER Closed strongly B/H/TT B Shinn · A S Cruz | B Shinn | A S Cruz | 9 | 6.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | HAPPY FORCE Led early B M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 13 | 27.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | IRON KING Closed strongly H M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 6 | 7.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | SPICY GRILL Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 43.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | MOON PEAKS B/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 11 | 79.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | REGENCY MASTER Closed strongly TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 8 | 20.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SMILING SUCCESS B/TT C Wong · K H Ting | C Wong | K H Ting | 4 | 12.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | LORIZ V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 14 | 11.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | HINYUEN SWIFTNESS B/TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 5 | 30.0 | 16 |
| 14 | 0 | READY CONQUEROR B A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 2 | 94.0 | 16-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2020-04-12 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. LEADING FORTUNE, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by SH, with PARTY GENIUS second and STUNNING IMPACT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite PARTY GENIUS finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE | 23.1% | 4.32 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | PARTY GENIUS | 16.1% | 6.21 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | SMILING SUCCESS | 11.8% | 8.46 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | LORIZ | 10.1% | 9.90 | 12 |
| 5 | 0 | IRON KING | 7.5% | 13.41 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | MOON PEAKS | 5.2% | 19.15 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | CIRCUIT HASSLER | 5.2% | 19.32 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | READY CONQUEROR | 4.4% | 22.95 | 14 |
| 9 | 0 | REGENCY MASTER | 4.3% | 23.09 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | HINYUEN SWIFTNESS | 4.2% | 23.53 | 13 |
| 11 | 0 | HAPPY FORCE | 2.8% | 35.64 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | BULLETPROOF | 2.5% | 39.42 | 4 |
| 13 | 0 | SPICY GRILL | 1.5% | 66.58 | 8 |
| 14 | 0 | STUNNING IMPACT | 1.2% | 83.07 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 64
PLACE
5 13.5
10 32.5
12 21
QUINELLA
5,12 138.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,10 122
5,12 60.5
10,12 95.5
TIERCE
12,5,10 2,052
TRIO
5,10,12 572
FIRST 4
5,6,10,12 1,907
QUARTET
12,5,10,6 32,026
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,5,6,7/5,10,12 26,112
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 20.5
A3 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
2,6,7/5 16.5
2,6,7/12 135.5