Sha Tin · 2020-04-12
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2020-04-12 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GOOD VIEW CLARICO, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C H Yip, won by 3/4, with CASA DE FORCA second and HONEST WAY third. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | GOOD VIEW CLARICO XB 1.09.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 3 | 2.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | CASA DE FORCA B K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 8 | 5.2 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | HONEST WAY B N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 5 | 7.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | CLASSIC POSH B- B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 11 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | COOLCELEB B-/PC1/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 6 | 100.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | NOBLE DESIRE B/XB J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 10 | 9.8 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | DRAGON PRIDE C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 4 | 21.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | GOLDEN LINK M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 7 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | SHINING ON B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 22.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | E GENERATION B/XB H N Wong · C Fownes | H N Wong | C Fownes | 2 | 31.0 | 6-1/2 |
| — | 6 | BEST SMILE H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | — | — | — |
| — | 7 | COMFORT LIFE V Borges · F C Lor | V Borges | F C Lor | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | GOOD VIEW CLARICO | 28.8% | 3.48 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | CASA DE FORCA | 21.3% | 4.70 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | NOBLE DESIRE | 19.3% | 5.18 | 6 |
| 4 | 11 | SHINING ON | 6.2% | 16.14 | 9 |
| 5 | 9 | COOLCELEB | 5.4% | 18.54 | 5 |
| 6 | 10 | DRAGON PRIDE | 5.2% | 19.09 | 7 |
| 7 | 1 | HONEST WAY | 5.0% | 20.13 | 3 |
| 8 | 3 | CLASSIC POSH | 3.7% | 26.80 | 4 |
| 9 | 8 | GOLDEN LINK | 3.3% | 30.69 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | E GENERATION | 1.9% | 52.50 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 20.5
PLACE
1 20.5
2 11.5
5 19
QUINELLA
2,5 72
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 29
1,5 57.5
2,5 32.5
TIERCE
2,5,1 476
TRIO
1,2,5 141
FIRST 4
1,2,3,5 367
QUARTET
2,5,1,3 4,426
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 17
A2 —
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
5/2,6,7 160.5
5/5 91