Sha Tin · 2020-04-12
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2020-04-12 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. ENZEMBLE, ridden by J Moreira and trained by D J Whyte, won by 3/4, with BLASTOISE second and CHARITY GO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | ENZEMBLE Closed strongly H/XB 1.46.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 4 | 2.8 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | BLASTOISE Closed strongly SR Z Purton · D E Ferraris | Z Purton | D E Ferraris | 2 | 8.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | CHARITY GO SR K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 7 | 19.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | SUPER ELEGANCE Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 3 | 5.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | NABOO STAR Closed strongly V/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 7.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | CHAMPION SUPREME Closed strongly B/TT N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 6 | 5.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | GOD OF DRAGON H/XB/TT A Hamelin · A S Cruz | A Hamelin | A S Cruz | 10 | 8.5 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | VINCY Closed strongly V/XB/TT2 C Schofield · D J Whyte | C Schofield | D J Whyte | 8 | 25.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | BEAUTY HAPPY Closed strongly B M Chadwick · J Moore | M Chadwick | J Moore | 9 | 83.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | UNICORNBABY B/TT H N Wong · R Gibson | H N Wong | R Gibson | 1 | 57.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | THUNDER STOMP Led early B2 V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 11 | 158.0 | 8-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | ENZEMBLE | 27.7% | 3.61 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | BLASTOISE | 19.9% | 5.02 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | NABOO STAR | 13.9% | 7.18 | 5 |
| 4 | 6 | SUPER ELEGANCE | 11.4% | 8.78 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | CHAMPION SUPREME | 5.7% | 17.67 | 6 |
| 6 | 11 | UNICORNBABY | 4.7% | 21.25 | 10 |
| 7 | 9 | GOD OF DRAGON | 4.3% | 23.41 | 7 |
| 8 | 3 | VINCY | 4.2% | 23.90 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | BEAUTY HAPPY | 3.5% | 28.89 | 9 |
| 10 | 2 | CHARITY GO | 3.4% | 29.71 | 3 |
| 11 | 7 | THUNDER STOMP | 1.4% | 70.49 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 28.5
PLACE
2 43
8 22
10 14
QUINELLA
8,10 114.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 175.5
2,10 79
8,10 42
TIERCE
10,8,2 2,148
TRIO
2,8,10 568
FIRST 4
2,6,8,10 626
QUARTET
10,8,2,6 10,039
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
8,9,13/2,8,10 70,713
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 21
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
13/8 89
13/10 174.5