Sha Tin · 2020-04-12
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2020-04-12 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. PRESIDENT'S CHOICE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C W Chang, won by 1-1/4, with HARD PROMISE second and CHEVALIER PRINCE third. The 1.5 favourite COLONEL finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE 1.09.52 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 10 | 7.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | HARD PROMISE N Callan · T P Yung | N Callan | T P Yung | 12 | 42.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | CHEVALIER PRINCE H1 M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 6 | 46.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | COLONEL Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 3 | 1.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | HAPPILY FRIENDS C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 1 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | BREEZE OF SPRING CP B Shinn · L Ho | B Shinn | L Ho | 11 | 8.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | SPEEDY DRAGON V Borges · D J Hall | V Borges | D J Hall | 7 | 22.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | SKYEY SUPREME B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 37.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | SUPER EIGHTEEN B C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 2 | 37.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 8 | UNIVERSAL CROWN XB1 J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 4 | 14.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | XIANG LAN QI K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 9 | 212.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | VICTORY FOR ALL B A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 8 | 31.0 | 6-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | COLONEL | 26.0% | 3.84 | 4 |
| 2 | 8 | UNIVERSAL CROWN | 14.2% | 7.06 | 10 |
| 3 | 2 | HAPPILY FRIENDS | 13.1% | 7.63 | 5 |
| 4 | 4 | BREEZE OF SPRING | 11.2% | 8.90 | 6 |
| 5 | 1 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 9.0% | 11.11 | 1 |
| 6 | 7 | SKYEY SUPREME | 8.1% | 12.35 | 8 |
| 7 | 6 | CHEVALIER PRINCE | 5.9% | 16.89 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | VICTORY FOR ALL | 4.2% | 23.54 | 12 |
| 9 | 9 | SPEEDY DRAGON | 2.5% | 39.76 | 7 |
| 10 | 3 | HARD PROMISE | 2.5% | 40.32 | 2 |
| 11 | 11 | SUPER EIGHTEEN | 2.1% | 46.92 | 9 |
| 12 | 12 | XIANG LAN QI | 1.1% | 91.40 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 73.5
PLACE
1 17
3 69
6 94
QUINELLA
1,3 2,036.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 348.5
1,6 416.5
3,6 1,235
TIERCE
1,3,6 90,810
TRIO
1,3,6 12,908
FIRST 4
1,3,5,6 2,829
QUARTET
1,3,6,5 177,920
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 13
A3 —
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
12/1 342
12/3 584