Sha Tin · 2020-04-12
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FANTASTIC SHOW Closed strongly B 1.21.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 8 | 2.7 | N |
| 2 | 0 | BEAUTY SMILE Closed strongly TT1 Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 6 | 12.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | JOYFUL HEART Closed strongly CP/TT C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | 14 | 5.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | HELLO BEAUTY B/TT C Wong · J Moore | C Wong | J Moore | 9 | 18.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE Closed strongly B K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 7 | 5.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | MARVEL DRAGON Closed strongly TT V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 13 | 127.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | PRIVATE ROCKET CP/XB A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 12 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | BUNDLE OF DELIGHT Closed strongly H1 M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 4 | 106.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | TOP SCORE B/TT N Callan · K W Lui | N Callan | K W Lui | 3 | 18.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | NAMJONG SINGS Closed strongly B K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 11 | 9.9 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | KASI FARASI Closed strongly H/TT M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 10 | 26.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | PICKEN H N Wong · J Size | H N Wong | J Size | 2 | 26.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | STANLEY PARK Led early H T H So · L Ho | T H So | L Ho | 1 | 427.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | ANONYMA TT M L Yeung · D E Ferraris | M L Yeung | D E Ferraris | 5 | 473.0 | 13-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2020-04-12 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. FANTASTIC SHOW, ridden by J Moreira and trained by Y S Tsui, won by N, with BEAUTY SMILE second and JOYFUL HEART third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FANTASTIC SHOW | 32.6% | 3.06 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | JOYFUL HEART | 13.4% | 7.46 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | PRIVATE ROCKET | 9.5% | 10.50 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | PICKEN | 9.4% | 10.65 | 12 |
| 5 | 0 | BEAUTY SMILE | 8.9% | 11.21 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE | 7.9% | 12.73 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | TOP SCORE | 6.2% | 16.10 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | HELLO BEAUTY | 3.3% | 30.30 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | NAMJONG SINGS | 3.0% | 33.84 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | KASI FARASI | 2.1% | 47.33 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | MARVEL DRAGON | 1.4% | 70.25 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | BUNDLE OF DELIGHT | 1.2% | 85.69 | 8 |
| 13 | 0 | ANONYMA | 0.6% | 161.89 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | STANLEY PARK | 0.5% | 207.85 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 27.5
PLACE
2 37
11 18.5
13 14
QUINELLA
2,13 188
QUINELLA PLACE
2,11 104
2,13 80.5
11,13 36
TIERCE
13,2,11 1,184
TRIO
2,11,13 348
FIRST 4
2,3,11,13 1,182
QUARTET
13,2,11,3 16,201
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 18
A2 —
All pools (1 more)
9TH DOUBLE
5/2 222.5
5/13 296