Sha Tin · 2020-04-12
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MCMUNIGAL Closed strongly B/TT 1.47.75 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 5 | 4.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER Closed strongly B J Moreira · P O'Sullivan | J Moreira | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 3.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL Closed strongly B/XB K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 11 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | AEROFLASH Closed strongly CP C Schofield · J Moore | C Schofield | J Moore | 7 | 13.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | WICKER B C Wong · R Gibson | C Wong | R Gibson | 2 | 15.0 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | MASTER ROMAN Closed strongly E1 N Callan · W Y So | N Callan | W Y So | 12 | 45.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | GOLDEN GENERAL Closed strongly CP H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 14 | 103.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | CHIU CHOW KID V/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 4 | 33.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | REEVE'S MUNTJAC Closed strongly B/XB/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 1 | 17.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | MONEY MARSHAL Led early B/XB1 M L Yeung · D E Ferraris | M L Yeung | D E Ferraris | 3 | 23.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | GOLDEN KID B M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 10 | 20.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SKY GEM P-/V2/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 13 | 20.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | LITTLE ISLAND V-/B2 K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 8 | 181.0 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | AMAZING AGILITY SR/TT Z Purton · L Ho | Z Purton | L Ho | 9 | 5.0 | 52-1/4 |
| — | 0 | ROMANTIC JOURNEY · C W Chang | — | C W Chang | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | CHAPARRAL STAR · C Fownes | — | C Fownes | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2020-04-12 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. MCMUNIGAL, ridden by M F Poon and trained by D J Hall, won by 2-1/4, with VICTORIOUS SEEKER second and FORTUNE PATROL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite VICTORIOUS SEEKER finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER | 27.6% | 3.62 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | SKY GEM | 11.6% | 8.65 | 12 |
| 3 | 0 | WICKER | 11.6% | 8.66 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | AMAZING AGILITY | 10.0% | 10.04 | 14 |
| 5 | 0 | MCMUNIGAL | 7.6% | 13.23 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | CHIU CHOW KID | 6.0% | 16.66 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL | 5.0% | 20.00 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | REEVE'S MUNTJAC | 4.3% | 23.44 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | AEROFLASH | 4.3% | 23.49 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | MASTER ROMAN | 3.4% | 29.05 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | GOLDEN KID | 3.2% | 31.24 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | MONEY MARSHAL | 3.0% | 33.32 | 10 |
| 13 | 0 | LITTLE ISLAND | 1.4% | 72.13 | 13 |
| 14 | 0 | GOLDEN GENERAL | 1.2% | 82.03 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 49
PLACE
3 13.5
4 31
5 18.5
QUINELLA
3,5 85.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 67
3,5 39.5
4,5 117
TIERCE
5,3,4 1,315
TRIO
3,4,5 183
FIRST 4
3,4,5,6 821
QUARTET
5,3,4,6 17,606
2ND DOUBLE
6/3 176.5
6/5 1,881.5
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 28
A3 —