沙田 · 2020-04-12
第 9場
2020-04-12沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Hamelin策騎、C S Shum訓練的BALTIC SUCCESS勝出，贏出3-1/2。FLYING GENIUS獲得亞軍；VALIANT DREAM獲得季軍。3.1倍大熱門VALIANT DREAM跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BALTIC SUCCESS TT 0.55.99 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 11 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 2 | 7 | FLYING GENIUS TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 12 | 4.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | VALIANT DREAM B Shinn · K W Lui | B Shinn | K W Lui | 5 | 3.1 | 5 |
| 4 | 9 | ZERO HEDGE PC/XB C Y Ho · J Size | C Y Ho | J Size | 3 | 19.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | HEART CONQUERED XB J Moreira · R Gibson | J Moreira | R Gibson | 2 | 5.6 | 6 |
| 6 | 4 | LE TERROIR CP M Chadwick · L Ho | M Chadwick | L Ho | 6 | 103.0 | 7 |
| 7 | 12 | KURPANY TT Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 4 | 6.5 | 7-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | CORRIENTHES SR M L Yeung · D E Ferraris | M L Yeung | D E Ferraris | 7 | 285.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | JUMBO ENGINE B/XB T H So · D J Whyte | T H So | D J Whyte | 1 | 208.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | DAY DAY RICH B1 V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 10 | 59.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 14 | OOGA CHAKA H/TT C Wong · C Fownes | C Wong | C Fownes | 9 | 360.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 8 | TRUST ME B C Schofield · C H Yip | C Schofield | C H Yip | 8 | 6.5 | 10-3/4 |
| 13 | 13 | LUCKY PUZZLE SR- H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 13 | 127.0 | 12 |
| 14 | 3 | HELAKU KNIGHT CP/H/XB K C Leung · J Moore | K C Leung | J Moore | 14 | 252.0 | 13-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | TRUST ME | 22.9% | 4.37 | 12 |
| 2 | 2 | HEART CONQUERED | 22.8% | 4.39 | 5 |
| 3 | 1 | VALIANT DREAM | 17.9% | 5.59 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | ZERO HEDGE | 11.4% | 8.76 | 4 |
| 5 | 7 | FLYING GENIUS | 6.2% | 16.14 | 2 |
| 6 | 12 | KURPANY | 5.4% | 18.39 | 7 |
| 7 | 5 | BALTIC SUCCESS | 4.9% | 20.36 | 1 |
| 8 | 6 | DAY DAY RICH | 2.3% | 42.90 | 10 |
| 9 | 4 | LE TERROIR | 2.2% | 45.51 | 6 |
| 10 | 10 | CORRIENTHES | 0.9% | 105.88 | 8 |
| 11 | 14 | OOGA CHAKA | 0.9% | 115.53 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | LUCKY PUZZLE | 0.8% | 123.78 | 13 |
| 13 | 11 | JUMBO ENGINE | 0.7% | 138.17 | 9 |
| 14 | 3 | HELAKU KNIGHT | 0.6% | 162.77 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 110.5
PLACE
1 14
5 33
7 16.5
QUINELLA
5,7 268
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 65.5
1,7 28.5
5,7 74.5
TIERCE
5,7,1 1,938
TRIO
1,5,7 270
FIRST 4
1,5,7,9 594
QUARTET
5,7,1,9 17,991
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 52
A2 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
10/5 319
10/7 23.5