沙田 · 2020-05-17
第 2場
2020-05-17沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由A Hamelin策騎、K L Man訓練的DUBLIN STAR勝出，贏出1-1/4。COMFORT LIFE獲得亞軍；NEXTMODEL獲得季軍。2.9倍大熱門GOKO跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | DUBLIN STAR B 0.56.01 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · K L Man | A Hamelin | K L Man | 6 | 3.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 4 | COMFORT LIFE XB/V1/TT V Borges · F C Lor | V Borges | F C Lor | 2 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | NEXTMODEL XB-/H/TT1 M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 10 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | PRECIOUS SWEETIE H/TT M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 11 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | GOLD 'N' BOLD B1 K C Leung · J Moore | K C Leung | J Moore | 8 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 14 | BESTA LUCK B/TT M L Yeung · R Gibson | M L Yeung | R Gibson | 12 | 36.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 13 | JAZZ STEED K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 3 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | GOKO B/TT C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 14 | 2.9 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | SHANGHAI POWER H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 1 | 401.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | EASY DAZZLING B1/H1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 124.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | GALLANT CROWN TT1 C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 9 | 58.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | ROCKET HAMMER H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 5 | 443.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 5 | DR EQ J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 13 | 13.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 2 | COLONEL TT H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 4 | 11.0 | 10-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | DUBLIN STAR | 23.5% | 4.26 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | DR EQ | 21.7% | 4.62 | 13 |
| 3 | 4 | COMFORT LIFE | 9.0% | 11.09 | 2 |
| 4 | 13 | JAZZ STEED | 8.3% | 12.07 | 7 |
| 5 | 1 | GOKO | 7.7% | 13.06 | 8 |
| 6 | 2 | COLONEL | 6.9% | 14.44 | 14 |
| 7 | 7 | GALLANT CROWN | 5.9% | 16.86 | 11 |
| 8 | 8 | GOLD 'N' BOLD | 5.0% | 20.09 | 5 |
| 9 | 6 | EASY DAZZLING | 4.5% | 22.21 | 10 |
| 10 | 3 | PRECIOUS SWEETIE | 3.4% | 29.09 | 4 |
| 11 | 14 | BESTA LUCK | 2.2% | 46.37 | 6 |
| 12 | 10 | NEXTMODEL | 0.9% | 108.35 | 3 |
| 13 | 11 | SHANGHAI POWER | 0.6% | 161.99 | 9 |
| 14 | 12 | ROCKET HAMMER | 0.4% | 233.11 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 37
PLACE
4 40
9 12.5
10 38.5
QUINELLA
4,9 266.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 86.5
4,10 313
9,10 85.5
TIERCE
9,4,10 5,815
TRIO
4,9,10 1,030
FIRST 4
3,4,9,10 2,910
QUARTET
9,4,10,3 47,916
1ST DOUBLE
10/4 184
10/9 258.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 16.5