沙田 · 2020-05-17
第 3場
2020-05-17沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由N Callan策騎、P O'Sullivan訓練的JUDY'S STAR勝出，贏出1/2。WOOD ON FIRE獲得亞軍；SUPER EIGHTEEN獲得季軍。頭馬以3.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | JUDY'S STAR 1.09.67 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 3.1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | WOOD ON FIRE B-/H2/V2 H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 6 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | SUPER EIGHTEEN B C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 1 | 17.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 8.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | DREAM WARRIORS CP/H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 5 | 5.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | SPEEDY DRAGON J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | 10 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | SMART CHARADE B/H/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 7 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | HAVE FUN TOGETHER H C L Chau · C Fownes | C L Chau | C Fownes | 4 | 16.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 12 | XIANG LAN QI M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 12 | 216.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | STRONG PROMISE XB1/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 3 | 62.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | DRAGON HAS LANDED CP-/B1/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 11 | 12.0 | 6 |
| — | 10 | ADONIS H T H So · D J Whyte | T H So | D J Whyte | 9 | 9.5 | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | DREAM WARRIORS | 22.3% | 4.48 | 5 |
| 2 | 6 | JUDY'S STAR | 18.1% | 5.52 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | HAVE FUN TOGETHER | 12.9% | 7.78 | 8 |
| 4 | 9 | SPEEDY DRAGON | 10.3% | 9.71 | 6 |
| 5 | 8 | WOOD ON FIRE | 9.1% | 10.99 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | SMART CHARADE | 8.2% | 12.18 | 7 |
| 7 | 2 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS | 6.9% | 14.49 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | SUPER EIGHTEEN | 5.3% | 18.91 | 3 |
| 9 | 1 | DRAGON HAS LANDED | 4.5% | 22.02 | 11 |
| 10 | 12 | XIANG LAN QI | 1.6% | 62.33 | 9 |
| 11 | 5 | STRONG PROMISE | 0.8% | 131.30 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 31.5
PLACE
6 15
8 32
11 45.5
QUINELLA
6,8 170
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 66
6,11 96
8,11 225.5
TIERCE
6,8,11 2,697
TRIO
6,8,11 736
FIRST 4
2,6,8,11 1,409
QUARTET
6,8,11,2 20,943
2ND DOUBLE
9/6 106.5
9/8 54
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 22.5