沙田 · 2020-09-06
第 3場
2020-09-06沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的WINSTON'S LAD勝出，贏出1-1/4。SUPER RED DRAGON獲得亞軍；ELIGERE獲得季軍。4.5倍大熱門ALL JOYFUL跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | WINSTON'S LAD B 1.09.60 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 6.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | SUPER RED DRAGON B/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 8 | 9.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | ELIGERE B2 C Schofield · Y S Tsui | C Schofield | Y S Tsui | 7 | 17.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 14 | GOLDEN MISSION TT M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 13 | 37.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | ALL JOYFUL V1 Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 4 | 4.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | HERO STAR N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 6 | 4.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | VIGOR CHAMP B M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 14 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | COLONEL B2/TT- V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 3 | 17.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 13 | DIAMOND PEGASUS B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 9 | 5.1 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | SAM'S LOVE TT H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 1 | 41.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | ULTRA EXPRESS TT1 A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 5 | 119.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | VIVA CHEF H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 11 | 46.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 7 | DAILY CHARM B/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 12 | 133.0 | 11 |
| 14 | 10 | NOBLE MAN E/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 10 | 30.0 | 17-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | WINSTON'S LAD | 11.9% | 8.41 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | HERO STAR | 10.9% | 9.21 | 6 |
| 3 | 4 | ALL JOYFUL | 10.2% | 9.84 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | ULTRA EXPRESS | 8.8% | 11.36 | 11 |
| 5 | 11 | VIGOR CHAMP | 8.2% | 12.21 | 7 |
| 6 | 14 | GOLDEN MISSION | 7.7% | 12.91 | 4 |
| 7 | 13 | DIAMOND PEGASUS | 7.7% | 12.92 | 9 |
| 8 | 12 | SUPER RED DRAGON | 6.6% | 15.09 | 2 |
| 9 | 1 | ELIGERE | 6.4% | 15.73 | 3 |
| 10 | 10 | NOBLE MAN | 6.0% | 16.73 | 14 |
| 11 | 5 | COLONEL | 5.6% | 17.73 | 8 |
| 12 | 7 | DAILY CHARM | 3.4% | 29.63 | 13 |
| 13 | 9 | SAM'S LOVE | 3.3% | 30.11 | 10 |
| 14 | 6 | VIVA CHEF | 3.3% | 30.23 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 62
PLACE
1 46.5
2 20.5
12 32
QUINELLA
2,12 289
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 171.5
1,12 297
2,12 94.5
FORECAST
2,12 865
TIERCE
2,12,1 7,271
TRIO
1,2,12 1,276
FIRST 4
1,2,12,14 7,067
QUARTET
2,12,1,14 98,496
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
11/2 297.5
11/12 87
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 27
A3 —