沙田 · 2020-09-06
第 2場
2020-09-06沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M L Yeung策騎、D A Hayes訓練的MONEYMORE勝出，贏出1/2。TELECOM MISSILE獲得亞軍；ADONIS獲得季軍。頭馬以4.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | MONEYMORE CO-/TT- 1.09.73 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 8 | 4.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | TELECOM MISSILE B1 Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 2 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | ADONIS H/CP2 K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 11 | 5.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | FOX CHEUNGER B/TT J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 5 | 9.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | SPEEDY DRAGON B B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 13 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | ROYAL CHOCOLATE B/XB/TT2 A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 9 | 22.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | U W BROTHER C Schofield · Y S Tsui | C Schofield | Y S Tsui | 4 | 6.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | JIMSON THE DRAGON XB-/B/TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 1 | 21.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | E GENERATION TT A Hamelin · C Fownes | A Hamelin | C Fownes | 6 | 8.4 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 13 | TARGET FINDER B-/H/XB2 H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 10 | 130.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | FANTASTIC FABIO B C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 12 | 6.2 | 8 |
| 12 | 6 | PLEASANT GUY V/H1 K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 7 | 80.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 13 | 10 | DASHING GRACE V1 M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 3 | 180.0 | 14-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | FOX CHEUNGER | 21.6% | 4.62 | 4 |
| 2 | 1 | ADONIS | 15.4% | 6.51 | 3 |
| 3 | 12 | JIMSON THE DRAGON | 12.0% | 8.36 | 8 |
| 4 | 5 | U W BROTHER | 10.0% | 10.03 | 7 |
| 5 | 8 | ROYAL CHOCOLATE | 8.9% | 11.22 | 6 |
| 6 | 9 | E GENERATION | 7.8% | 12.85 | 9 |
| 7 | 6 | PLEASANT GUY | 5.6% | 17.74 | 12 |
| 8 | 11 | MONEYMORE | 5.2% | 19.11 | 1 |
| 9 | 3 | TELECOM MISSILE | 3.4% | 29.16 | 2 |
| 10 | 13 | TARGET FINDER | 3.1% | 32.38 | 10 |
| 11 | 2 | FANTASTIC FABIO | 2.9% | 34.42 | 11 |
| 12 | 4 | SPEEDY DRAGON | 2.9% | 34.73 | 5 |
| 13 | 10 | DASHING GRACE | 1.2% | 83.39 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 42
PLACE
1 18
3 47
11 17
QUINELLA
3,11 393
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 144.5
1,11 50.5
3,11 135
FORECAST
11,3 577
TIERCE
11,3,1 2,747
TRIO
1,3,11 740
FIRST 4
1,3,7,11 430
QUARTET
11,3,1,7 10,031
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
5/3 78.5
5/11 116.5
3 PICK 1
A1 24
A3 —
A2 —