沙田 · 2020-09-06
第 6場
2020-09-06沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Hamelin策騎、A T Millard訓練的PRINCE OF GEMS勝出，贏出1/2。PEGASUS GLORY獲得亞軍；UNITED WE STAND獲得季軍。3.3倍大熱門UNITED WE STAND跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | PRINCE OF GEMS CP-/TT1 0.55.93 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 1 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | PEGASUS GLORY K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 6 | 20.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | UNITED WE STAND B/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 4 | 3.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | DUBLIN STAR B C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 8 | 5.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | MANAGEMENT SUPREME M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 7 | 41.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | WHISKEY NEAT H1/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 9 | 37.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | COMFORT LIFE V/XB/TT J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 13 | 5.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | SURE WIN WIN CP1 Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 5 | 9.2 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 14 | SUPER WINNER B1/TT V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 2 | 8.3 | 5 |
| 10 | 1 | CORRIENTHES SR H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 14 | 197.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 4 | HELAKU KNIGHT H-/XB- B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 11 | 9.5 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 3 | 76.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 11 | LUCKY TURBO B/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 10 | 65.0 | 7 |
| 14 | 13 | TIGER GLARE H H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 12 | 188.0 | 9-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | UNITED WE STAND | 17.9% | 5.59 | 3 |
| 2 | 10 | SURE WIN WIN | 17.5% | 5.70 | 8 |
| 3 | 12 | COMFORT LIFE | 11.6% | 8.64 | 7 |
| 4 | 3 | DUBLIN STAR | 11.1% | 9.00 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | PRINCE OF GEMS | 10.8% | 9.28 | 1 |
| 6 | 8 | MANAGEMENT SUPREME | 8.2% | 12.16 | 5 |
| 7 | 5 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS | 5.2% | 19.15 | 12 |
| 8 | 14 | SUPER WINNER | 4.8% | 20.80 | 9 |
| 9 | 9 | PEGASUS GLORY | 3.1% | 32.02 | 2 |
| 10 | 4 | HELAKU KNIGHT | 3.0% | 33.22 | 11 |
| 11 | 7 | WHISKEY NEAT | 3.0% | 33.90 | 6 |
| 12 | 11 | LUCKY TURBO | 2.5% | 40.60 | 13 |
| 13 | 13 | TIGER GLARE | 0.7% | 134.91 | 14 |
| 14 | 1 | CORRIENTHES | 0.6% | 172.56 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 106
PLACE
2 34
6 15.5
9 56.5
QUINELLA
2,9 1,083
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 94
2,9 380
6,9 162.5
FORECAST
2,9 1,986
TIERCE
2,9,6 9,394
TRIO
2,6,9 1,958
FIRST 4
2,3,6,9 1,479
QUARTET
2,9,6,3 43,635
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 28.5
5TH DOUBLE
2/2 1,626
2/9 591.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,5,10/2,4,6/2,6,9 2,217,486
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,5,10/2,4,6/Any Combination 1,736