沙田 · 2020-09-06
第 7場
2020-09-06沙田第7場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、D A Hayes訓練的METRO WARRIOR勝出，贏出N。ALLIED AGILITY獲得亞軍；TAKE WHAT YOU NEED獲得季軍。頭馬以3.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | METRO WARRIOR CP-/B1 0.55.78 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 11 | 3.0 | N |
| 2 | 2 | ALLIED AGILITY H/TT K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 9 | 11.0 | N |
| 3 | 8 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED B K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 5 | 8.5 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | BALTIC SUCCESS TT A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 7 | 18.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 13 | TRUST ME B2 K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 2 | 18.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | HEART CONQUERED XB A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 8 | 7.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | TELECOM JAC V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 12 | 344.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | SUNNY LAD B/TT C Wong · A S Cruz | C Wong | A S Cruz | 10 | 293.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 14 | WHAT A LEGEND B M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 14 | 45.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | CHANCHENG PRINCE J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 3 | 8.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | KA YING MASTER TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 6 | 9.8 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | PRINCE OF FROG H/P/XB C L Chau · L Ho | C L Chau | L Ho | 13 | 89.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 5 | WAR OF COURAGE C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 4 | 5.9 | 7 |
| 14 | 3 | PRINCE OF BON BON B1 N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 1 | 376.0 | 10-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | CHANCHENG PRINCE | 50.9% | 1.96 | 10 |
| 2 | 5 | WAR OF COURAGE | 12.6% | 7.95 | 13 |
| 3 | 6 | METRO WARRIOR | 10.0% | 10.01 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED | 9.4% | 10.63 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | ALLIED AGILITY | 3.2% | 31.11 | 2 |
| 6 | 14 | WHAT A LEGEND | 2.6% | 38.55 | 9 |
| 7 | 7 | HEART CONQUERED | 2.4% | 41.82 | 6 |
| 8 | 13 | TRUST ME | 2.3% | 43.15 | 5 |
| 9 | 11 | KA YING MASTER | 2.3% | 43.63 | 11 |
| 10 | 1 | BALTIC SUCCESS | 1.4% | 72.36 | 4 |
| 11 | 4 | PRINCE OF FROG | 1.0% | 101.00 | 12 |
| 12 | 9 | TELECOM JAC | 1.0% | 103.61 | 7 |
| 13 | 12 | SUNNY LAD | 0.5% | 188.76 | 8 |
| 14 | 3 | PRINCE OF BON BON | 0.4% | 245.65 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 30
PLACE
2 34.5
6 14.5
8 28.5
QUINELLA
2,6 192.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 72.5
2,8 154.5
6,8 68
FORECAST
6,2 216
TIERCE
6,2,8 2,774
TRIO
2,6,8 543
FIRST 4
1,2,6,8 2,042
QUARTET
6,2,8,1 24,285
全部彩池（另 3 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,9/2,6,8 77,481
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 21.5
6TH DOUBLE
2/2 226.5
2/6 351