沙田 · 2020-09-06
第 4場
2020-09-06沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、W Y So訓練的BRIGHT KID勝出，贏出3/4。BREEZE OF SPRING獲得亞軍；UNTOLD RICHES獲得季軍。3.3倍大熱門UNTOLD RICHES跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BRIGHT KID B/XB 1.09.40 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 11 | 4.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 10 | BREEZE OF SPRING CP2/TT1 K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 8 | 16.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | UNTOLD RICHES M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 7 | 3.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | FORTUNE MASTER C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 82.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 14 | COPARTNER ERA B V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 2 | 42.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | JUDY'S STAR N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 4.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | HAPPY TANGO B/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 4 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 13 | LUCKY GUY B-/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 1 | 14.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | DAY DAY RICH B/TT1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 3 | 44.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 8 | WAR LORD E/P1 J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 9 | 26.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 | ROCKET HAMMER B1 H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 14 | 405.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | MORE THAN ENOUGH B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 6 | 9.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 7 | INTERSTELLAR B/XB1/TT A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 10 | 23.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 9 | FRESH POWER B/TT C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 13 | 85.0 | 10-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | JUDY'S STAR | 18.4% | 5.43 | 6 |
| 2 | 2 | BRIGHT KID | 17.2% | 5.81 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | MORE THAN ENOUGH | 15.3% | 6.53 | 12 |
| 4 | 11 | HAPPY TANGO | 12.9% | 7.74 | 7 |
| 5 | 7 | INTERSTELLAR | 7.9% | 12.68 | 13 |
| 6 | 8 | WAR LORD | 6.0% | 16.61 | 10 |
| 7 | 13 | LUCKY GUY | 4.7% | 21.22 | 8 |
| 8 | 14 | COPARTNER ERA | 3.9% | 25.74 | 5 |
| 9 | 5 | UNTOLD RICHES | 3.4% | 29.05 | 3 |
| 10 | 6 | FORTUNE MASTER | 3.3% | 30.33 | 4 |
| 11 | 10 | BREEZE OF SPRING | 3.0% | 33.13 | 2 |
| 12 | 9 | FRESH POWER | 2.0% | 49.49 | 14 |
| 13 | 1 | DAY DAY RICH | 1.3% | 74.31 | 9 |
| 14 | 12 | ROCKET HAMMER | 0.5% | 201.25 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 46
PLACE
2 15.5
5 16.5
10 48
QUINELLA
2,10 443.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 38
2,10 144.5
5,10 121.5
FORECAST
2,10 585
TIERCE
2,10,5 3,335
TRIO
2,5,10 496
FIRST 4
2,5,6,10 6,517
QUARTET
2,10,5,6 112,317
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,12/2,5,10 250,459
3 PICK 1
A2 24.5
A3 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
2/2 265.5
2/10 458