Sha Tin · 2020-09-06
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2020-09-06 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. BRIGHT KID, ridden by Z Purton and trained by W Y So, won by 3/4, with BREEZE OF SPRING second and UNTOLD RICHES third. The 3.3 favourite UNTOLD RICHES finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BRIGHT KID B/XB 1.09.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 11 | 4.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 10 | BREEZE OF SPRING CP2/TT1 K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 8 | 16.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | UNTOLD RICHES M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 7 | 3.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | FORTUNE MASTER C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 82.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 14 | COPARTNER ERA B V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 2 | 42.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | JUDY'S STAR N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 4.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | HAPPY TANGO B/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 4 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 13 | LUCKY GUY B-/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 1 | 14.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | DAY DAY RICH B/TT1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 3 | 44.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 8 | WAR LORD E/P1 J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 9 | 26.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 | ROCKET HAMMER B1 H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 14 | 405.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | MORE THAN ENOUGH B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 6 | 9.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 7 | INTERSTELLAR B/XB1/TT A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 10 | 23.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 9 | FRESH POWER B/TT C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 13 | 85.0 | 10-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | JUDY'S STAR | 18.4% | 5.43 | 6 |
| 2 | 2 | BRIGHT KID | 17.2% | 5.81 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | MORE THAN ENOUGH | 15.3% | 6.53 | 12 |
| 4 | 11 | HAPPY TANGO | 12.9% | 7.74 | 7 |
| 5 | 7 | INTERSTELLAR | 7.9% | 12.68 | 13 |
| 6 | 8 | WAR LORD | 6.0% | 16.61 | 10 |
| 7 | 13 | LUCKY GUY | 4.7% | 21.22 | 8 |
| 8 | 14 | COPARTNER ERA | 3.9% | 25.74 | 5 |
| 9 | 5 | UNTOLD RICHES | 3.4% | 29.05 | 3 |
| 10 | 6 | FORTUNE MASTER | 3.3% | 30.33 | 4 |
| 11 | 10 | BREEZE OF SPRING | 3.0% | 33.13 | 2 |
| 12 | 9 | FRESH POWER | 2.0% | 49.49 | 14 |
| 13 | 1 | DAY DAY RICH | 1.3% | 74.31 | 9 |
| 14 | 12 | ROCKET HAMMER | 0.5% | 201.25 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 46
PLACE
2 15.5
5 16.5
10 48
QUINELLA
2,10 443.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 38
2,10 144.5
5,10 121.5
FORECAST
2,10 585
TIERCE
2,10,5 3,335
TRIO
2,5,10 496
FIRST 4
2,5,6,10 6,517
QUARTET
2,10,5,6 112,317
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,12/2,5,10 250,459
3 PICK 1
A2 24.5
A3 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
2/2 265.5
2/10 458