Sha Tin · 2020-09-06
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LEAP OF FAITH Closed strongly 1.22.25 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 14 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | ANGEL OF MY EYES Led early TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 10 | 4.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | SUMSTREETSUMWHERE B B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 1 | 2.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | EZRA Closed strongly XB-/B A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 8 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | TELECOM ROCKET Closed strongly CP C Schofield · Y S Tsui | C Schofield | Y S Tsui | 5 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | CHUNG WAH SPIRIT Closed strongly TT- M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 12 | 49.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | DIONYSUS COLLIN Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 46.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | HANG'S DECISION Closed strongly B V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 11 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | ROMAN IMPERO B2 K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 13 | 16.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | SHANGHAI LAD P-/H1/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 2 | 280.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | VILLA FIONN B C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 4 | 18.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | JOYFUL CHEERS Closed strongly H1/TT H W Lai · C S Shum | H W Lai | C S Shum | 9 | 301.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | KELMIMI WINS B/TT K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 7 | 13.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | SMILING FACE B-/XB A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 3 | 62.0 | 8-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2020-09-06 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. LEAP OF FAITH, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/4, with ANGEL OF MY EYES second and SUMSTREETSUMWHERE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite SUMSTREETSUMWHERE finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KELMIMI WINS | 18.2% | 5.50 | 13 |
| 2 | 0 | LEAP OF FAITH | 18.0% | 5.57 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | SUMSTREETSUMWHERE | 11.8% | 8.45 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | ANGEL OF MY EYES | 11.6% | 8.64 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | DIONYSUS COLLIN | 10.2% | 9.77 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | SMILING FACE | 8.2% | 12.16 | 14 |
| 7 | 0 | TELECOM ROCKET | 6.0% | 16.58 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | VILLA FIONN | 6.0% | 16.73 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | EZRA | 3.0% | 32.81 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | ROMAN IMPERO | 2.3% | 42.94 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | HANG'S DECISION | 2.0% | 51.14 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | CHUNG WAH SPIRIT | 1.6% | 62.11 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | JOYFUL CHEERS | 0.7% | 152.74 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | SHANGHAI LAD | 0.4% | 265.52 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 137.5
PLACE
2 41.5
4 18
6 13
QUINELLA
2,4 274.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 95.5
2,6 77.5
4,6 31
FORECAST
2,4 599
TIERCE
2,4,6 2,247
TRIO
2,4,6 280
FIRST 4
1,2,4,6 338
QUARTET
2,4,6,1 12,608
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 41
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
2/2 589
2/4 22.5