Sha Tin · 2020-09-06
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EXCELLENT PROPOSAL Closed strongly E 1.21.65 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 6 | 2.4 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | STAR PERFORMANCE Closed strongly TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 3 | 7.2 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | GREAT TREASURE Closed strongly H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 13 | 43.0 | N |
| 4 | 0 | UNCLE STEVE Closed strongly SR/XB C Schofield · D J Whyte | C Schofield | D J Whyte | 10 | 7.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | TOP SCORE Led early TT V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 5 | 75.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | THE HULK Closed strongly N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 14 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | REGENCY BO BO B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 4 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE Closed strongly B K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 11 | 30.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | TIANCHI MONSTER Closed strongly A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 12 | 200.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | ALCARI B M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 2 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CORDYCEPS B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 8.9 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | PERFECT PAIR SR A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 7 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | PRIVATE COUNCIL CP1 B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 9 | 42.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | HONGKONG GREAT H1/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 1 | 200.0 | 12 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2020-09-06 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. EXCELLENT PROPOSAL, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by SH, with STAR PERFORMANCE second and GREAT TREASURE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EXCELLENT PROPOSAL | 32.2% | 3.10 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | PERFECT PAIR | 10.3% | 9.69 | 12 |
| 3 | 0 | ALCARI | 9.7% | 10.31 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | STAR PERFORMANCE | 8.5% | 11.83 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | CORDYCEPS | 7.8% | 12.79 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | REGENCY BO BO | 7.6% | 13.22 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE | 7.3% | 13.78 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | THE HULK | 5.6% | 18.02 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | UNCLE STEVE | 3.4% | 29.17 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | TOP SCORE | 2.1% | 48.21 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | GREAT TREASURE | 1.9% | 53.21 | 3 |
| 12 | 0 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 1.9% | 53.71 | 9 |
| 13 | 0 | PRIVATE COUNCIL | 1.1% | 88.36 | 13 |
| 14 | 0 | HONGKONG GREAT | 0.7% | 134.89 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 24
PLACE
1 24
4 13.5
13 92
QUINELLA
1,4 116.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 48
1,13 388.5
4,13 177.5
FORECAST
4,1 179
TIERCE
4,1,13 2,698
TRIO
1,4,13 1,318
FIRST 4
1,4,6,13 2,601
QUARTET
4,1,13,6 29,104
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 19
A2 —
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
6/1 161.5
6/4 363