Sha Tin · 2020-09-06
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | JOY MASTER Closed strongly V/TT 1.35.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 3 | 2.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | ART OF RAW H/TT H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 8 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | THE FULL BLOOM Closed strongly P-/TT- K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 1 | 7.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | WHO'S HORSE Led early B/TT K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 6 | 7.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | GREEN GENERATION Closed strongly B C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 7 | 36.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | GREAT SMART CP/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 11 | 7.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | AMAZING AGILITY B-/SR/TT2 H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 9 | 19.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | BRAVERY AND POWER TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 4 | 61.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS Closed strongly B2 B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 5 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | FORTUNE BUDDY B M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 2 | 58.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL B/H/XB A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 12 | 6.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | WILLFUL CP- H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 10 | 126.0 | 7-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2020-09-06 was Class 5 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. JOY MASTER, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won by 3/4, with ART OF RAW second and THE FULL BLOOM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | JOY MASTER | 37.9% | 2.64 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | GREAT SMART | 10.7% | 9.33 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | WHO'S HORSE | 10.3% | 9.69 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | GREEN GENERATION | 7.9% | 12.62 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | THE FULL BLOOM | 7.5% | 13.33 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL | 6.9% | 14.53 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS | 6.2% | 16.00 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | ART OF RAW | 5.5% | 18.13 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | BRAVERY AND POWER | 2.2% | 45.91 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | AMAZING AGILITY | 2.2% | 46.27 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | FORTUNE BUDDY | 1.6% | 62.24 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | WILLFUL | 1.0% | 95.76 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 26.5
PLACE
5 14
10 21
11 37.5
QUINELLA
5,11 187.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,10 43.5
5,11 74
10,11 119
FORECAST
5,11 320
TIERCE
5,11,10 1,417
TRIO
5,10,11 291
FIRST 4
1,5,10,11 505
QUARTET
5,11,10,1 9,208
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 19.5
A2 —