Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2020-09-06

Race 2

Class 5 GOOD 1200m Course A 13 runners

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2020-09-06 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. MONEYMORE, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1/2, with TELECOM MISSILE second and ADONIS third. Victory came as the 4.2 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.09.73
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 11 MONEYMORE CO-/TT- 1.09.73 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · D A Hayes 8 4.2 1/2
2 3 TELECOM MISSILE B1 Z Purton · C H Yip 2 13.0 1/2
3 1 ADONIS H/CP2 K Teetan · D J Whyte 11 5.6 1-1/4
4 7 FOX CHEUNGER B/TT J Moreira · K W Lui 5 9.1 1-3/4
5 4 SPEEDY DRAGON B B Shinn · D J Hall 13 15.0 2-1/2
6 8 ROYAL CHOCOLATE B/XB/TT2 A Badel · A T Millard 9 22.0 2-3/4
7 5 U W BROTHER C Schofield · Y S Tsui 4 6.6 3-1/4
8 12 JIMSON THE DRAGON XB-/B/TT K H Chan · C H Yip 1 21.0 5-1/4
9 9 E GENERATION TT A Hamelin · C Fownes 6 8.4 6-1/2
10 13 TARGET FINDER B-/H/XB2 H T Mo · C W Chang 10 130.0 6-3/4
11 2 FANTASTIC FABIO B C L Chau · C H Yip 12 6.2 8
12 6 PLEASANT GUY V/H1 K C Leung · L Ho 7 80.0 9-1/2
13 10 DASHING GRACE V1 M Chadwick · T P Yung 3 180.0 14-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MONEYMORE2. TELECOM MISSILE+0.5L3. ADONIS+1.25L4. FOX CHEUNGER+1.75L5. SPEEDY DRAGON+2.5L6. ROYAL CHOCOLATE+2.75L7. U W BROTHER+3.25L8. JIMSON THE DRAGON+5.25L9. E GENERATION+6.5L10. TARGET FINDER+6.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick FOX CHEUNGER (21.6%) finished 4th — the winner MONEYMORE was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 FOX CHEUNGER 21.6% 4.62 4
2 1 ADONIS 15.4% 6.51 3
3 12 JIMSON THE DRAGON 12.0% 8.36 8
4 5 U W BROTHER 10.0% 10.03 7
5 8 ROYAL CHOCOLATE 8.9% 11.22 6
6 9 E GENERATION 7.8% 12.85 9
7 6 PLEASANT GUY 5.6% 17.74 12
8 11 MONEYMORE 5.2% 19.11 1
9 3 TELECOM MISSILE 3.4% 29.16 2
10 13 TARGET FINDER 3.1% 32.38 10
11 2 FANTASTIC FABIO 2.9% 34.42 11
12 4 SPEEDY DRAGON 2.9% 34.73 5
13 10 DASHING GRACE 1.2% 83.39 13
FOX CHEUNGERADONISJIMSON THE DRAGONU W BROTHERROYAL CHOCOLATEE GENERATIONPLEASANT GUYMONEYMORE — wonTELECOM MISSILETARGET FINDERFANTASTIC FABIOSPEEDY DRAGONDASHING GRACE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 42

PLACE

1 18

3 47

11 17

QUINELLA

3,11 393

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 144.5

1,11 50.5

3,11 135

FORECAST

11,3 577

TIERCE

11,3,1 2,747

TRIO

1,3,11 740

FIRST 4

1,3,7,11 430

QUARTET

11,3,1,7 10,031

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

5/3 78.5

5/11 116.5

3 PICK 1

A1 24

A3

A2