沙田 · 2020-09-06
第 10場
2020-09-06沙田第10場，Class 2，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的MONGOLIAN KING勝出，贏出1。BALLISTIC KING獲得亞軍；STAR SHINE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.4倍大熱門BEAUTY APPLAUSE跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MONGOLIAN KING 後段發力 B 1.21.12 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 4 | 5.4 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | BALLISTIC KING 後段發力 C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 13 | 14.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | STAR SHINE 後段發力 TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 14 | 26.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | SUPER OASIS 後段發力 B/XB C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 5 | 4.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | KYRUS UNICORN 後段發力 SR M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 12 | 99.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | BEAUTY APPLAUSE 早段領放 TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 9 | 3.4 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | KING OPIE V V Borges · F C Lor | V Borges | F C Lor | 2 | 57.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | AMAZING BEATS 後段發力 CP A Hamelin · P O'Sullivan | A Hamelin | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 102.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 13 | RACING FIGHTER B/TT C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 1 | 114.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 5 | SUPER WEALTHY A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 8 | 4.6 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | FLASHCARD TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 6 | 109.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 14 | MONICA B-/TT- M F Poon · D A Hayes | M F Poon | D A Hayes | 3 | 44.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 3 | NORTHERN SUPERSTAR B/TT K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 7 | 125.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 14 | 6 | HAPPY FUN V-/B2/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 11 | 8.2 | 26-1/4 |
| — | 0 | AMAZING ONE PLUS · C S Shum | — | C S Shum | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SUPER WEALTHY | 20.1% | 4.99 | 10 |
| 2 | 8 | BEAUTY APPLAUSE | 16.9% | 5.91 | 6 |
| 3 | 6 | HAPPY FUN | 13.2% | 7.57 | 14 |
| 4 | 1 | SUPER OASIS | 11.3% | 8.85 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | MONGOLIAN KING | 10.2% | 9.81 | 1 |
| 6 | 4 | STAR SHINE | 6.4% | 15.57 | 3 |
| 7 | 7 | BALLISTIC KING | 5.3% | 18.72 | 2 |
| 8 | 9 | KING OPIE | 4.3% | 23.35 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | AMAZING BEATS | 3.8% | 26.60 | 8 |
| 10 | 13 | RACING FIGHTER | 3.4% | 29.34 | 9 |
| 11 | 14 | MONICA | 1.8% | 56.17 | 12 |
| 12 | 11 | KYRUS UNICORN | 1.3% | 74.30 | 5 |
| 13 | 3 | NORTHERN SUPERSTAR | 1.2% | 84.11 | 13 |
| 14 | 12 | FLASHCARD | 0.8% | 127.67 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 54
PLACE
2 16.5
4 60
7 32
QUINELLA
2,7 321.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 141.5
2,7 102.5
4,7 347.5
FORECAST
2,7 454
TIERCE
2,7,4 6,006
TRIO
2,4,7 2,067
FIRST 4
1,2,4,7 1,215
QUARTET
2,7,4,1 25,777
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 19.5
A1 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,13/2,4,7 254,597
9TH DOUBLE
4/2 144
4/7 61.5
SIX UP
2/2/6/6/4/2 549,471
2,4/2,9/2,6/4,6/1,4/2,7 23,415
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
6/4/2 1,996
6/4/7 693