沙田 · 2020-10-04
第 5場
2020-10-04沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由H T Mo策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的SPARKLING DOLPHIN勝出，贏出1-1/4。UNITED WE STAND獲得亞軍；AMAZING ROCKY獲得季軍。3.3倍大熱門UNITED WE STAND跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN 0.55.89 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 2 | 75.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | UNITED WE STAND B/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 10 | 3.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 5 | AMAZING ROCKY H1 K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 12 | 4.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | SUNNY AND GOLD H1/TT1 Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 11 | 8.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | GIVE WAY PLEASE M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 4 | 4.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | BRAVE POWER CP/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 9 | 36.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | GOKO B/XB1/TT B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 13 | 5.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | VICTORY IN HAND B-/TT V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 8 | 58.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 13 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN H H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 7 | 260.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK CP K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 3 | 18.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | SPEED TO EXCEED H1 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 1 | 129.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | THE ELITES TT J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 5 | 74.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 12 | ALL THE WAY B/TT C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 14 | 246.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 14 | 4 | JUMBO ENGINE B/XB A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 6 | 138.0 | 11-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | UNITED WE STAND | 33.2% | 3.02 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | AMAZING ROCKY | 9.4% | 10.68 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | THE ELITES | 7.3% | 13.71 | 12 |
| 4 | 11 | GOKO | 7.2% | 13.89 | 7 |
| 5 | 8 | SUNNY AND GOLD | 7.1% | 14.06 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK | 6.9% | 14.55 | 10 |
| 7 | 9 | BRAVE POWER | 6.5% | 15.47 | 6 |
| 8 | 7 | SPEED TO EXCEED | 6.4% | 15.75 | 11 |
| 9 | 4 | JUMBO ENGINE | 4.4% | 22.98 | 14 |
| 10 | 6 | GIVE WAY PLEASE | 4.3% | 23.05 | 5 |
| 11 | 14 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN | 2.9% | 34.35 | 1 |
| 12 | 2 | VICTORY IN HAND | 2.6% | 38.91 | 8 |
| 13 | 13 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN | 1.2% | 82.73 | 9 |
| 14 | 12 | ALL THE WAY | 0.8% | 123.85 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
14 757
PLACE
3 13
5 16
14 123.5
QUINELLA
3,14 776
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 30
3,14 229.5
5,14 474.5
FORECAST
14,3 2,169
TIERCE
14,3,5 15,466
TRIO
3,5,14 1,160
FIRST 4
3,5,8,14 1,648
QUARTET
14,3,5,8 66,986
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 68
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
9/3 140.5
9/14 9,603.5