沙田 · 2020-10-04
第 9場
2020-10-04沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、T P Yung訓練的CRUISING勝出，贏出1/2。PRINCE OF GEMS獲得亞軍；GOOD VIEW CLARICO獲得季軍。3.6倍大熱門PRINCE OF GEMS跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | CRUISING 0.55.29 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 6 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | PRINCE OF GEMS TT A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 7 | 3.6 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | GOOD VIEW CLARICO XB M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 3 | 5.2 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | FABULOUS EIGHT TT J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 4 | 4.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 13 | LIKE THAT B C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 9 | 38.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | SEVEN HEAVENS TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 10 | 6.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | BALTIC SUCCESS TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 2 | 14.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | FLYING ON THE TURF B/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 8 | 85.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | LUCKY MARYKNOLL M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 1 | 93.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | VALIANT DREAM B Shinn · K W Lui | B Shinn | K W Lui | 5 | 22.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | CUE THE MUSIC SR-/B1/TT N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 12 | 20.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | HAPPY QIJI H1 H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 13 | 99.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 13 | 3 | WAR OF COURAGE CP1 C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 11 | 24.0 | 16-1/4 |
| — | 14 | SPARKLING KNIGHT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | FABULOUS EIGHT | 33.4% | 2.99 | 4 |
| 2 | 9 | GOOD VIEW CLARICO | 14.0% | 7.12 | 3 |
| 3 | 11 | PRINCE OF GEMS | 10.0% | 9.97 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | CRUISING | 9.2% | 10.90 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | WAR OF COURAGE | 6.4% | 15.55 | 13 |
| 6 | 13 | LIKE THAT | 6.2% | 16.22 | 5 |
| 7 | 1 | BALTIC SUCCESS | 5.2% | 19.26 | 7 |
| 8 | 2 | VALIANT DREAM | 4.6% | 21.83 | 10 |
| 9 | 5 | SEVEN HEAVENS | 3.8% | 26.50 | 6 |
| 10 | 12 | FLYING ON THE TURF | 2.5% | 39.52 | 8 |
| 11 | 7 | LUCKY MARYKNOLL | 2.3% | 44.01 | 9 |
| 12 | 8 | CUE THE MUSIC | 2.0% | 50.30 | 11 |
| 13 | 4 | HAPPY QIJI | 0.4% | 257.74 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 117.5
PLACE
6 38
9 20.5
11 13.5
QUINELLA
6,11 246.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 125
6,11 86
9,11 41
FORECAST
6,11 709
TIERCE
6,11,9 2,991
TRIO
6,9,11 405
FIRST 4
6,9,10,11 187
QUARTET
6,11,9,10 6,430
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 19
A3 —
A1 —
8TH DOUBLE
1/6 384.5
1/11,14 34