沙田 · 2020-10-04
第 4場
2020-10-04沙田第4場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由B Shinn策騎、D J Hall訓練的PLIKCLONE勝出，贏出N。BLAZING PARTNERS獲得亞軍；ONE STEP AHEAD獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.4倍大熱門MASTER GALAXY跑獲第10名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | PLIKCLONE 後段發力 B 1.22.01 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 5 | 16.0 | N |
| 2 | 13 | BLAZING PARTNERS 後段發力 B C L Chau · D E Ferraris | C L Chau | D E Ferraris | 2 | 9.7 | N |
| 3 | 11 | ONE STEP AHEAD 後段發力 B/TT M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 71.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | YES WE CAN 後段發力 TT A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | 9 | 23.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | LUCKY GUY 後段發力 TT N Callan · C H Yip | N Callan | C H Yip | 1 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | TREASURE CHEST B/XB C Wong · P F Yiu | C Wong | P F Yiu | 13 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | VITAL SPRING 後段發力 CP/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 14 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | GALAXY RACER 後段發力 V/TT C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 7 | 58.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | HEALTHY TREASURE 後段發力 B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 154.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 6 | MASTER GALAXY Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 8 | 4.4 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 14 | E GENERATION 早段領放 H/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 12 | 7.8 | 8 |
| 12 | 7 | WONDER WIN M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 11 | 14.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 13 | 3 | GOLDEN MISSION TT A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 6 | 4.4 | 13-1/2 |
| 14 | 1 | LAOS ENLIGHTENMENT B/TT V Borges · D A Hayes | V Borges | D A Hayes | 3 | 10.0 | 17-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MASTER GALAXY | 17.6% | 5.70 | 10 |
| 2 | 14 | E GENERATION | 12.8% | 7.84 | 11 |
| 3 | 5 | YES WE CAN | 10.3% | 9.71 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | GOLDEN MISSION | 9.6% | 10.41 | 13 |
| 5 | 1 | LAOS ENLIGHTENMENT | 8.6% | 11.64 | 14 |
| 6 | 13 | BLAZING PARTNERS | 7.7% | 13.04 | 2 |
| 7 | 12 | TREASURE CHEST | 6.7% | 14.93 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | GALAXY RACER | 6.0% | 16.71 | 8 |
| 9 | 4 | VITAL SPRING | 5.9% | 16.96 | 7 |
| 10 | 2 | LUCKY GUY | 4.9% | 20.29 | 5 |
| 11 | 7 | WONDER WIN | 4.0% | 25.07 | 12 |
| 12 | 9 | PLIKCLONE | 3.6% | 27.57 | 1 |
| 13 | 11 | ONE STEP AHEAD | 1.2% | 81.06 | 3 |
| 14 | 10 | HEALTHY TREASURE | 1.2% | 86.01 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 160.5
PLACE
9 43.5
11 168.5
13 30.5
QUINELLA
9,13 783.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,11 1,476.5
9,13 228.5
11,13 956.5
FORECAST
9,13 2,509
TIERCE
9,13,11 69,957
TRIO
9,11,13 14,171
FIRST 4
5,9,11,13 61,274
QUARTET
9,13,11,5 615,805
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,9/9,11,13 2,035,859
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 20.5
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
9/9 1,561.5
9/13 97.5