Sha Tin · 2020-10-04
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2020-10-04 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. PLIKCLONE, ridden by B Shinn and trained by D J Hall, won by N, with BLAZING PARTNERS second and ONE STEP AHEAD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.4 favourite MASTER GALAXY finished 10th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | PLIKCLONE Closed strongly B 1.22.01 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 5 | 16.0 | N |
| 2 | 13 | BLAZING PARTNERS Closed strongly B C L Chau · D E Ferraris | C L Chau | D E Ferraris | 2 | 9.7 | N |
| 3 | 11 | ONE STEP AHEAD Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 71.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | YES WE CAN Closed strongly TT A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | 9 | 23.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | LUCKY GUY Closed strongly TT N Callan · C H Yip | N Callan | C H Yip | 1 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | TREASURE CHEST B/XB C Wong · P F Yiu | C Wong | P F Yiu | 13 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | VITAL SPRING Closed strongly CP/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 14 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | GALAXY RACER Closed strongly V/TT C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 7 | 58.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | HEALTHY TREASURE Closed strongly B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 154.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 6 | MASTER GALAXY Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 8 | 4.4 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 14 | E GENERATION Led early H/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 12 | 7.8 | 8 |
| 12 | 7 | WONDER WIN M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 11 | 14.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 13 | 3 | GOLDEN MISSION TT A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 6 | 4.4 | 13-1/2 |
| 14 | 1 | LAOS ENLIGHTENMENT B/TT V Borges · D A Hayes | V Borges | D A Hayes | 3 | 10.0 | 17-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MASTER GALAXY | 17.6% | 5.70 | 10 |
| 2 | 14 | E GENERATION | 12.8% | 7.84 | 11 |
| 3 | 5 | YES WE CAN | 10.3% | 9.71 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | GOLDEN MISSION | 9.6% | 10.41 | 13 |
| 5 | 1 | LAOS ENLIGHTENMENT | 8.6% | 11.64 | 14 |
| 6 | 13 | BLAZING PARTNERS | 7.7% | 13.04 | 2 |
| 7 | 12 | TREASURE CHEST | 6.7% | 14.93 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | GALAXY RACER | 6.0% | 16.71 | 8 |
| 9 | 4 | VITAL SPRING | 5.9% | 16.96 | 7 |
| 10 | 2 | LUCKY GUY | 4.9% | 20.29 | 5 |
| 11 | 7 | WONDER WIN | 4.0% | 25.07 | 12 |
| 12 | 9 | PLIKCLONE | 3.6% | 27.57 | 1 |
| 13 | 11 | ONE STEP AHEAD | 1.2% | 81.06 | 3 |
| 14 | 10 | HEALTHY TREASURE | 1.2% | 86.01 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 160.5
PLACE
9 43.5
11 168.5
13 30.5
QUINELLA
9,13 783.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,11 1,476.5
9,13 228.5
11,13 956.5
FORECAST
9,13 2,509
TIERCE
9,13,11 69,957
TRIO
9,11,13 14,171
FIRST 4
5,9,11,13 61,274
QUARTET
9,13,11,5 615,805
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,9/9,11,13 2,035,859
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 20.5
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
9/9 1,561.5
9/13 97.5