Sha Tin · 2020-10-04
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2020-10-04 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. ENFOLDING, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won by 1, with CLEAR CHOICE second and THE HULK third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite HIGH REV finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | ENFOLDING Closed strongly V 1.39.93 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 6 | 7.2 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | CLEAR CHOICE Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 5 | 14.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | THE HULK Led early C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 4 | 5.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | ELITE PATCH Closed strongly B/H/TT V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 12 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | HIGH REV Closed strongly BO-/XB/B2 Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 2 | 2.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 13 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE Closed strongly H M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 9 | 78.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | URBAN DANCER Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 1 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | VOLPINO Closed strongly H/XB/TT M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 7 | 13.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | EVER LAUGH B/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 8 | 57.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | BEST ALLIANCE XB A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 11 | 15.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | SUPERBELLA B-/V1 K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 10 | 131.0 | 16 |
| 12 | 10 | SUPERB DADDY TT1 A Badel · D E Ferraris | A Badel | D E Ferraris | 3 | 12.0 | 27-3/4 |
| 13 | 2 | MR ALDAN B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 13 | 18.0 | 32-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MR ALDAN | 20.1% | 4.97 | 13 |
| 2 | 4 | ENFOLDING | 17.5% | 5.71 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | HIGH REV | 12.4% | 8.08 | 5 |
| 4 | 6 | THE HULK | 12.1% | 8.26 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | CLEAR CHOICE | 9.2% | 10.84 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | ELITE PATCH | 5.8% | 17.31 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | BEST ALLIANCE | 5.0% | 20.01 | 10 |
| 8 | 11 | VOLPINO | 4.7% | 21.50 | 8 |
| 9 | 10 | SUPERB DADDY | 4.0% | 25.16 | 12 |
| 10 | 9 | EVER LAUGH | 3.2% | 31.55 | 9 |
| 11 | 12 | URBAN DANCER | 2.2% | 44.67 | 7 |
| 12 | 13 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE | 2.2% | 44.82 | 6 |
| 13 | 7 | SUPERBELLA | 1.6% | 61.46 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 72.5
PLACE
4 19.5
5 36
6 19.5
QUINELLA
4,5 238
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 67.5
4,6 75
5,6 112.5
FORECAST
4,5 308
TIERCE
4,5,6 2,486
TRIO
4,5,6 639
FIRST 4
3,4,5,6 998
QUARTET
4,5,6,3 19,463
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 19
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
14/4 5,889
14/5 1,281.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
9,11,13/3,5,14/Any Combination 418,449