Sha Tin · 2020-10-04
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TEMPLE OF HEAVEN Closed strongly XB 1.21.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 3 | 6.5 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | TRUE LEGEND Led early CP K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 1 | 7.1 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | NOBLE STEED Closed strongly A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 2 | 20.0 | HD |
| 4 | 0 | ALCARI Closed strongly B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 9 | 42.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | LEAP OF FAITH J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 6 | 2.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | ROMANTIC COMBO Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 13 | 158.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | TOYCOON XB M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 4 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | GUY DRAGON Closed strongly XB/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 12 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | GREAT TREASURE Closed strongly C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 10 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | PEACH BLOSSOMS TT1 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 5 | 119.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | BLAZING BEAT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 8 | 330.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | BEAUTY SPIRIT CP/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 11 | 10.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | PRINCE OF BON BON B C L Chau · D E Ferraris | C L Chau | D E Ferraris | 7 | 274.0 | 18-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2020-10-04 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. TEMPLE OF HEAVEN, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Whyte, won by SH, with TRUE LEGEND second and NOBLE STEED third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.0 favourite LEAP OF FAITH finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LEAP OF FAITH | 43.4% | 2.30 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | TRUE LEGEND | 14.4% | 6.95 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | TEMPLE OF HEAVEN | 12.9% | 7.77 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | ALCARI | 6.8% | 14.65 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | BEAUTY SPIRIT | 5.8% | 17.29 | 12 |
| 6 | 0 | GUY DRAGON | 4.5% | 22.01 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | TOYCOON | 4.3% | 23.19 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | GREAT TREASURE | 3.2% | 31.37 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | NOBLE STEED | 2.8% | 35.34 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | ROMANTIC COMBO | 0.8% | 132.98 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | PEACH BLOSSOMS | 0.4% | 224.44 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | PRINCE OF BON BON | 0.3% | 292.89 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | BLAZING BEAT | 0.3% | 332.10 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 65.5
PLACE
1 21
4 48.5
13 19
QUINELLA
1,13 230
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 157
1,13 72
4,13 165
FORECAST
1,13 487
TIERCE
1,13,4 6,552
TRIO
1,4,13 1,097
FIRST 4
1,4,6,13 6,798
QUARTET
1,13,4,6 98,712
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 15.5
A2 —
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
10/1 593.5
10/13 141