Sha Tin · 2020-10-04
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2020-10-04 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. TEMPLE OF HEAVEN, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Whyte, won by SH, with TRUE LEGEND second and NOBLE STEED third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.0 favourite LEAP OF FAITH finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | TEMPLE OF HEAVEN Closed strongly XB 1.21.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 3 | 6.5 | SH |
| 2 | 13 | TRUE LEGEND Led early CP K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 1 | 7.1 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | NOBLE STEED Closed strongly A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 2 | 20.0 | HD |
| 4 | 6 | ALCARI Closed strongly B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 9 | 42.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | LEAP OF FAITH J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 6 | 2.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | ROMANTIC COMBO Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 13 | 158.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | TOYCOON XB M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 4 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | GUY DRAGON Closed strongly XB/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 12 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | GREAT TREASURE Closed strongly C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 10 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | PEACH BLOSSOMS TT1 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 5 | 119.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | BLAZING BEAT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 8 | 330.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | BEAUTY SPIRIT CP/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 11 | 10.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 5 | PRINCE OF BON BON B C L Chau · D E Ferraris | C L Chau | D E Ferraris | 7 | 274.0 | 18-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | LEAP OF FAITH | 43.4% | 2.30 | 5 |
| 2 | 13 | TRUE LEGEND | 14.4% | 6.95 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | TEMPLE OF HEAVEN | 12.9% | 7.77 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | ALCARI | 6.8% | 14.65 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | BEAUTY SPIRIT | 5.8% | 17.29 | 12 |
| 6 | 3 | GUY DRAGON | 4.5% | 22.01 | 8 |
| 7 | 8 | TOYCOON | 4.3% | 23.19 | 7 |
| 8 | 10 | GREAT TREASURE | 3.2% | 31.37 | 9 |
| 9 | 4 | NOBLE STEED | 2.8% | 35.34 | 3 |
| 10 | 12 | ROMANTIC COMBO | 0.8% | 132.98 | 6 |
| 11 | 9 | PEACH BLOSSOMS | 0.4% | 224.44 | 10 |
| 12 | 5 | PRINCE OF BON BON | 0.3% | 292.89 | 13 |
| 13 | 7 | BLAZING BEAT | 0.3% | 332.10 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 65.5
PLACE
1 21
4 48.5
13 19
QUINELLA
1,13 230
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 157
1,13 72
4,13 165
FORECAST
1,13 487
TIERCE
1,13,4 6,552
TRIO
1,4,13 1,097
FIRST 4
1,4,6,13 6,798
QUARTET
1,13,4,6 98,712
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 15.5
A3 —
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
10/1 593.5
10/13 141