Sha Tin · 2020-10-04
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2020-10-04 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. ALL FOR ST PAUL'S, ridden by K Teetan and trained by F C Lor, won by 3/4, with SO AWESOME second and MORE THAN ENOUGH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite SO AWESOME finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S Closed strongly B 1.21.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 10 | 5.2 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | SO AWESOME Closed strongly J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 2 | 2.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | MORE THAN ENOUGH Closed strongly B/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 5 | 38.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | MOMENTUM HAPPY Led early B K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 3 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 1 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | ULTIMATE GLORY V Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 9 | 6.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | TAILOR MADE B- M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 6 | 27.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | EPTIWINS Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 8 | 5.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | DAILY CHARM B/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 7 | 37.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | LEADING FORTUNE B/E A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 4 | 15.0 | 11-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SO AWESOME | 34.8% | 2.87 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 13.2% | 7.57 | 5 |
| 3 | 9 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 11.6% | 8.64 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | ULTIMATE GLORY | 9.5% | 10.53 | 6 |
| 5 | 2 | LEADING FORTUNE | 8.7% | 11.54 | 10 |
| 6 | 7 | EPTIWINS | 7.6% | 13.18 | 8 |
| 7 | 3 | MORE THAN ENOUGH | 5.8% | 17.32 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | MOMENTUM HAPPY | 4.6% | 21.79 | 4 |
| 9 | 10 | TAILOR MADE | 3.1% | 31.81 | 7 |
| 10 | 6 | DAILY CHARM | 1.1% | 88.49 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 52.5
PLACE
3 83.5
5 14.5
9 19.5
QUINELLA
5,9 75.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 147.5
3,9 237
5,9 32.5
FORECAST
9,5 235
TIERCE
9,5,3 3,154
TRIO
3,5,9 780
FIRST 4
3,4,5,9 1,516
QUARTET
9,5,3,4 28,435
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
10/5 10.5
10/9 113
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 21
A1 —