Sha Tin · 2020-10-04
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHUNG WAH SPIRIT Closed strongly P2 1.39.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 5 | 6.9 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | PARTY EVERYDAY Closed strongly H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 1 | 3.1 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE Closed strongly V Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 3 | 3.9 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | SKYEY SUPREME B/TT J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 14 | 4.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | DOUBLE TAKE Closed strongly B M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 6 | 39.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | KING'S RACE Led early B/TT M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 8 | 25.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | UNITE SPIRIT XB- C L Chau · D E Ferraris | C L Chau | D E Ferraris | 2 | 12.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | CHEERFUL STAR Closed strongly CP/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 12 | 69.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR Closed strongly B A Badel · D E Ferraris | A Badel | D E Ferraris | 10 | 24.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | NATURAL WINNER CP/TT C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 13 | 118.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | WELL DRAGON Closed strongly TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 11 | 44.0 | 17-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | WAR LORD P A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 7 | 26.0 | 19-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | FUN LEGEND B Shinn · R Gibson | B Shinn | R Gibson | 9 | 243.0 | 30-3/4 |
| — | 0 | SONIC FIGHTER B N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 50.0 | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-10-04 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. CHUNG WAH SPIRIT, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by C H Yip, won by 3, with PARTY EVERYDAY second and CROWN AVENUE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite PARTY EVERYDAY finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PARTY EVERYDAY | 25.5% | 3.92 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | SKYEY SUPREME | 18.7% | 5.33 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE | 14.5% | 6.92 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | DOUBLE TAKE | 6.9% | 14.40 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | WAR LORD | 6.6% | 15.26 | 12 |
| 6 | 0 | KING'S RACE | 6.5% | 15.33 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | UNITE SPIRIT | 5.3% | 18.88 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | CHEERFUL STAR | 4.6% | 21.61 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | CHUNG WAH SPIRIT | 4.2% | 23.67 | 1 |
| 10 | 0 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR | 2.6% | 38.64 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | NATURAL WINNER | 2.3% | 43.44 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | WELL DRAGON | 1.7% | 57.80 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | FUN LEGEND | 0.5% | 198.72 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 69.5
PLACE
1 15
10 27
12 14
QUINELLA
1,10 176
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 58.5
1,12 31
10,12 67.5
FORECAST
10,1 483
TIERCE
10,1,12 1,742
TRIO
1,10,12 208
FIRST 4
1,2,10,12 170
QUARTET
10,1,12,2 6,229
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,6/1,10,12 10,968
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 21
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
4/1 37.5
4/10 918