沙田 · 2020-11-14
第 2場
2020-11-14沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、C Fownes訓練的FORTE勝出，贏出1-1/4。UNITED WE STAND獲得亞軍；GLENEALY GENERALS獲得季軍。3.1倍大熱門UNITED WE STAND跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | FORTE XB1/TT1 0.57.08 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 5 | 5.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 4 | UNITED WE STAND B/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 6 | 3.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | GLENEALY GENERALS B-/V1 K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 1 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | LITTLE PLAYER B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 14 | 6.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | INFINITE POWER M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 12 | 4.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | COMFORT LIFE B/XB/TT K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 4 | 26.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | CHAMPION PRIDE TT N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 2 | 127.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 10 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 14 | ALL THE WAY B/TT A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 7 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | LUCKY BOY XB1 M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 13 | 222.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | AMAZING KNIGHT E-/B1 K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 11 | 56.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | JOYFUL WIN A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 9 | 146.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 13 | GOLD 'N' BOLD B-/V1 V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 8 | 92.0 | 7 |
| 14 | 5 | FARM BUMPER T Piccone · K L Man | T Piccone | K L Man | 3 | 38.0 | 7-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | FORTE | 26.8% | 3.73 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | UNITED WE STAND | 20.8% | 4.81 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | GLENEALY GENERALS | 10.5% | 9.55 | 3 |
| 4 | 11 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN | 8.9% | 11.20 | 8 |
| 5 | 12 | COMFORT LIFE | 6.3% | 15.88 | 6 |
| 6 | 1 | AMAZING KNIGHT | 4.7% | 21.25 | 11 |
| 7 | 5 | FARM BUMPER | 4.7% | 21.38 | 14 |
| 8 | 8 | JOYFUL WIN | 4.4% | 22.66 | 12 |
| 9 | 7 | INFINITE POWER | 3.4% | 29.49 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | LITTLE PLAYER | 2.1% | 46.80 | 4 |
| 11 | 13 | GOLD 'N' BOLD | 2.0% | 49.15 | 13 |
| 12 | 10 | LUCKY BOY | 2.0% | 49.27 | 10 |
| 13 | 2 | CHAMPION PRIDE | 1.7% | 59.79 | 7 |
| 14 | 14 | ALL THE WAY | 1.7% | 59.82 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 51
PLACE
3 40.5
4 14
6 23.5
QUINELLA
4,6 91.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 69.5
3,6 137.5
4,6 38
FORECAST
6,4 254
TIERCE
6,4,3 1,656
TRIO
3,4,6 328
FIRST 4
3,4,6,9 555
QUARTET
6,4,3,9 11,339
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
4/4 72
4/6 780
3 PICK 1
A2 30
A1 —
A3 —