沙田 · 2020-11-14
第 1場
2020-11-14沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Hamelin策騎、C H Yip訓練的HAPPY WIN WIN勝出，贏出3/4。SHANGHAI DRAGON獲得亞軍；BLAZING PARTNERS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.4倍大熱門CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | HAPPY WIN WIN 後段發力 TT 1.35.13 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 6 | 9.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | SHANGHAI DRAGON 早段領放 B T Piccone · T P Yung | T Piccone | T P Yung | 7 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | BLAZING PARTNERS B C L Chau · D E Ferraris | C L Chau | D E Ferraris | 4 | 8.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE 後段發力 H/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 5 | 4.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | REGENCY GEM 後段發力 B/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 10 | 5.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | JOY MASTER 後段發力 V/TT N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 11 | 19.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | MOON PEAKS H/B2 H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 3 | 40.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | EVEN KEEL 後段發力 B/XB K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 2 | 6.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | AMAZING AGILITY SR/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 8 | 29.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 13 | HEALTHY TREASURE B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 140.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN H M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 13 | 186.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | DAILY CHARM 後段發力 B/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 14 | 16.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 14 | GOLDEN GENERAL 後段發力 XB A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 9 | 8.3 | 8-1/2 |
| 14 | 10 | HOME WIN B- B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 12 | 17.0 | 13 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE | 33.3% | 3.00 | 4 |
| 2 | 12 | BLAZING PARTNERS | 10.5% | 9.49 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | EVEN KEEL | 9.3% | 10.73 | 8 |
| 4 | 9 | SHANGHAI DRAGON | 8.4% | 11.87 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | REGENCY GEM | 8.4% | 11.97 | 5 |
| 6 | 4 | HAPPY WIN WIN | 5.7% | 17.70 | 1 |
| 7 | 8 | AMAZING AGILITY | 4.4% | 22.82 | 9 |
| 8 | 7 | JOY MASTER | 4.2% | 23.84 | 6 |
| 9 | 2 | DAILY CHARM | 3.5% | 28.19 | 12 |
| 10 | 14 | GOLDEN GENERAL | 3.0% | 33.04 | 13 |
| 11 | 10 | HOME WIN | 2.9% | 34.57 | 14 |
| 12 | 13 | HEALTHY TREASURE | 2.3% | 43.04 | 10 |
| 13 | 11 | MOON PEAKS | 2.2% | 45.05 | 7 |
| 14 | 6 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN | 1.8% | 55.60 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 96.5
PLACE
4 26.5
9 42
12 25.5
QUINELLA
4,9 697
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 209.5
4,12 128.5
9,12 157
FORECAST
4,9 1,229
TIERCE
4,9,12 9,160
TRIO
4,9,12 2,024
FIRST 4
1,4,9,12 1,337
QUARTET
4,9,12,1 40,453
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 24.5
A2 —
A1 —