Sha Tin · 2020-11-14
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAPPY WIN WIN Closed strongly TT 1.35.13 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 6 | 9.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | SHANGHAI DRAGON Led early B T Piccone · T P Yung | T Piccone | T P Yung | 7 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | BLAZING PARTNERS B C L Chau · D E Ferraris | C L Chau | D E Ferraris | 4 | 8.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE Closed strongly H/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 5 | 4.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | REGENCY GEM Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 10 | 5.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | JOY MASTER Closed strongly V/TT N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 11 | 19.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | MOON PEAKS H/B2 H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 3 | 40.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | EVEN KEEL Closed strongly B/XB K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 2 | 6.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | AMAZING AGILITY SR/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 8 | 29.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | HEALTHY TREASURE B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 140.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN H M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 13 | 186.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | DAILY CHARM Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 14 | 16.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 0 | GOLDEN GENERAL Closed strongly XB A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 9 | 8.3 | 8-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | HOME WIN B- B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 12 | 17.0 | 13 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2020-11-14 was Class 5 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY WIN WIN, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by C H Yip, won by 3/4, with SHANGHAI DRAGON second and BLAZING PARTNERS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.4 favourite CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE | 33.3% | 3.00 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | BLAZING PARTNERS | 10.5% | 9.49 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | EVEN KEEL | 9.3% | 10.73 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | SHANGHAI DRAGON | 8.4% | 11.87 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | REGENCY GEM | 8.4% | 11.97 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | HAPPY WIN WIN | 5.7% | 17.70 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | AMAZING AGILITY | 4.4% | 22.82 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | JOY MASTER | 4.2% | 23.84 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | DAILY CHARM | 3.5% | 28.19 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | GOLDEN GENERAL | 3.0% | 33.04 | 13 |
| 11 | 0 | HOME WIN | 2.9% | 34.57 | 14 |
| 12 | 0 | HEALTHY TREASURE | 2.3% | 43.04 | 10 |
| 13 | 0 | MOON PEAKS | 2.2% | 45.05 | 7 |
| 14 | 0 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN | 1.8% | 55.60 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 96.5
PLACE
4 26.5
9 42
12 25.5
QUINELLA
4,9 697
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 209.5
4,12 128.5
9,12 157
FORECAST
4,9 1,229
TIERCE
4,9,12 9,160
TRIO
4,9,12 2,024
FIRST 4
1,4,9,12 1,337
QUARTET
4,9,12,1 40,453
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 24.5
A1 —