Sha Tin · 2020-11-14
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CASIMIRO Closed strongly 1.34.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · P O'Sullivan | C L Chau | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 7.9 | N |
| 2 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S Led early B K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 7 | 39.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | SEAWEED FORTUNE Closed strongly CP-/B1/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 5.8 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | BULLETPROOF Closed strongly B V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 13 | 8.7 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | DECISIVE ACTION Closed strongly TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 11 | 5.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | FAMILY LEADER Closed strongly B J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 14 | 6.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND TT C Wong · A S Cruz | C Wong | A S Cruz | 1 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | EVER LAUGH B/TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 8 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | JIMMU Closed strongly SR A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 12 | 28.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | MARVELOUS FANS E N Callan · J Size | N Callan | J Size | 10 | 18.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SPEED FORCE XB M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 3 | 50.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | BUNDLE OF DELIGHT M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 5 | 9.5 | 4 |
| 13 | 0 | APEX TOP B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 4 | 38.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | LIGHT MY DAY CP/TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 6 | 20.0 | 7-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2020-11-14 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. CASIMIRO, ridden by C L Chau and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by N, with ALL FOR ST PAUL'S second and SEAWEED FORTUNE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.2 favourite DECISIVE ACTION finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BULLETPROOF | 22.3% | 4.47 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | SEAWEED FORTUNE | 14.3% | 6.98 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | FAMILY LEADER | 12.0% | 8.35 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | DECISIVE ACTION | 6.9% | 14.52 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 6.9% | 14.59 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | MARVELOUS FANS | 6.5% | 15.32 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | LIGHT MY DAY | 6.1% | 16.34 | 14 |
| 8 | 0 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND | 4.3% | 23.41 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | EVER LAUGH | 4.1% | 24.25 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | CASIMIRO | 3.8% | 26.61 | 1 |
| 11 | 0 | APEX TOP | 3.6% | 27.68 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | JIMMU | 3.2% | 31.64 | 9 |
| 13 | 0 | SPEED FORCE | 3.2% | 31.70 | 11 |
| 14 | 0 | BUNDLE OF DELIGHT | 2.9% | 34.79 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 79
PLACE
5 21
9 25
10 104.5
QUINELLA
9,10 1,433
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 84
5,10 265.5
9,10 426
FORECAST
9,10 2,503
TIERCE
9,10,5 14,109
TRIO
5,9,10 2,858
FIRST 4
5,8,9,10 5,930
QUARTET
9,10,5,8 149,905
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 17.5
A1 —
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
6/9 1,402
6/10 736
TRIPLE TRIO
4,5,10/6,9,10/5,9,10 9,544,860
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,5,10/6,9,10/Any Combination 3,174