Sha Tin · 2020-11-14
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DIAMOND RHYME Closed strongly XB1 1.21.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 7.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | MASTER HERO Closed strongly XB1/TT1 C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 1 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | SO AWESOME Closed strongly J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 8 | 4.4 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | ULTIMATE GLORY Closed strongly V Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 13 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | NATURAL WINNER CP/TT A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 6 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | SURE WIN WIN Closed strongly T Piccone · T P Yung | T Piccone | T P Yung | 14 | 84.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | SMART WONGCHOY Led early H-/P-/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 10 | 4.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | GOLDEN FOUR Closed strongly K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 5 | 8.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS WIN B V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 4 | 152.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SEVENTH SEA Closed strongly SR H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 11 | 106.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | MIGHTY POWER BO-/B1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 7 | 7.5 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | SUN SUN FA FA TT B Shinn · W Y So | B Shinn | W Y So | 2 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | SUNNY AND GOLD H/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 12 | 51.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | DEMONS ROCK B H N Wong · D J Hall | H N Wong | D J Hall | 9 | 119.0 | 10-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2020-11-14 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. DIAMOND RHYME, ridden by K C Leung and trained by F C Lor, won by 1-3/4, with MASTER HERO second and SO AWESOME third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.4 favourite SO AWESOME finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SO AWESOME | 27.2% | 3.68 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | MIGHTY POWER | 11.0% | 9.11 | 11 |
| 3 | 0 | GOLDEN FOUR | 10.6% | 9.40 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | MASTER HERO | 10.2% | 9.78 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | SMART WONGCHOY | 8.9% | 11.20 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | DIAMOND RHYME | 7.9% | 12.72 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | ULTIMATE GLORY | 6.4% | 15.74 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | NATURAL WINNER | 5.0% | 20.14 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | SUN SUN FA FA | 3.7% | 27.14 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | DEMONS ROCK | 3.2% | 30.97 | 14 |
| 11 | 0 | SUNNY AND GOLD | 2.3% | 42.83 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | SEVENTH SEA | 1.5% | 64.66 | 10 |
| 13 | 0 | SURE WIN WIN | 1.4% | 73.29 | 6 |
| 14 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS WIN | 0.7% | 141.08 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 73.5
PLACE
4 16.5
5 47
10 25.5
QUINELLA
5,10 469.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 135
4,10 61.5
5,10 182.5
FORECAST
10,5 1,098
TIERCE
10,5,4 6,115
TRIO
4,5,10 725
FIRST 4
2,4,5,10 2,197
QUARTET
10,5,4,2 58,494
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
5,7,8/4,5,10 16,915
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 21.5
3RD DOUBLE
5/5 285.5
5/10 724.5