Sha Tin · 2020-11-14
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2020-11-14 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. BEAUTY ANGEL, ridden by J Moreira and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with NATURAL STORM second and ARROGANT third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | BEAUTY ANGEL Wire to wire TT 1.47.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 5 | 2.5 | N |
| 2 | 14 | NATURAL STORM Closed strongly B M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 1 | 4.5 | N |
| 3 | 1 | ARROGANT B1/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 28.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | TEMPEST EXPRESS Closed strongly E/TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 2 | 7.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | FLYING MIGHTY Closed strongly K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 3 | 42.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | CINQUANTE CINQ Closed strongly K H Chan · T P Yung | K H Chan | T P Yung | 14 | 47.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 13 | JOYFUL HEART CP-/TT M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 12 | 129.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | SUPER ELEGANCE B/TT Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 13 | 8.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | ENTRUSTED CP- A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 11 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | VINCY Closed strongly XB/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 10 | 9.6 | 4 |
| 11 | 3 | KYRUS UNICORN SR B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 8 | 49.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | XIANG BAI QI B N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 9 | 33.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 2 | CHAMPION SUPREME B/TT- A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 4 | 49.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 10 | XANTHUS H/PC/TT C Wong · R Gibson | C Wong | R Gibson | 7 | 290.0 | 10-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | BEAUTY ANGEL | 37.6% | 2.66 | 1 |
| 2 | 14 | NATURAL STORM | 18.7% | 5.35 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | TEMPEST EXPRESS | 10.1% | 9.93 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 | VINCY | 6.8% | 14.72 | 10 |
| 5 | 7 | SUPER ELEGANCE | 5.7% | 17.56 | 8 |
| 6 | 9 | ENTRUSTED | 5.1% | 19.52 | 9 |
| 7 | 4 | CINQUANTE CINQ | 4.1% | 24.59 | 6 |
| 8 | 2 | CHAMPION SUPREME | 2.6% | 38.01 | 13 |
| 9 | 8 | XIANG BAI QI | 2.4% | 41.58 | 12 |
| 10 | 13 | JOYFUL HEART | 2.2% | 46.34 | 7 |
| 11 | 3 | KYRUS UNICORN | 2.0% | 51.16 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | FLYING MIGHTY | 1.5% | 65.62 | 5 |
| 13 | 1 | ARROGANT | 0.9% | 114.67 | 3 |
| 14 | 10 | XANTHUS | 0.4% | 247.88 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 25.5
PLACE
1 81
12 13.5
14 14.5
QUINELLA
12,14 59
QUINELLA PLACE
1,12 148.5
1,14 223.5
12,14 27
FORECAST
12,14 117
TIERCE
12,14,1 1,600
TRIO
1,12,14 808
FIRST 4
1,6,12,14 915
QUARTET
12,14,1,6 10,432
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 16.5
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,6/1,12,14 363,677
9TH DOUBLE
5/12 328.5
5/14 111.5
SIX UP
6/9/3/11/5/12 2,982,123
6,9/9,10/3,7/10,11,12/2,5/12,14 4,541
5 [A Badel] —
TREBLE
11/5/12 9,968
11/5/14 2,900