Sha Tin · 2020-11-14
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2020-11-14 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SUPER RED DRAGON, ridden by A Badel and trained by W Y So, won by 1, with INNO LEGEND second and BREEZE OF SPRING third. The 3.0 favourite INNO LEGEND finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SUPER RED DRAGON B/TT 1.09.38 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 10 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | INNO LEGEND CP Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 2 | 3.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | BREEZE OF SPRING CP/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 9 | 4.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | QIPAO BOSS M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 6 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | LITTLE THUNDER B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 8 | 51.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | VICTORIOUS LEADER V- C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 1 | 22.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | RHAPSODY J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 12 | 8.1 | 5 |
| 8 | 6 | HAPPY JAI JAI XB1/TT1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 5 | 102.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | GRAND POWER B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 4 | 182.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | VECTOR H1/TT1 K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 3 | 3.9 | 7 |
| 11 | 2 | PRECISION DREAM B-/H1 V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 11 | 268.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | EASY DAZZLING B-/H/P1/TT1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 87.0 | 13 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | RHAPSODY | 28.4% | 3.52 | 7 |
| 2 | 7 | INNO LEGEND | 17.1% | 5.83 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | VECTOR | 13.5% | 7.43 | 10 |
| 4 | 5 | SUPER RED DRAGON | 12.5% | 8.01 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | BREEZE OF SPRING | 8.9% | 11.24 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | QIPAO BOSS | 6.9% | 14.54 | 4 |
| 7 | 12 | VICTORIOUS LEADER | 4.8% | 21.00 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | LITTLE THUNDER | 4.3% | 23.20 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | GRAND POWER | 1.4% | 73.69 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | EASY DAZZLING | 1.1% | 87.88 | 12 |
| 11 | 6 | HAPPY JAI JAI | 0.8% | 129.21 | 8 |
| 12 | 2 | PRECISION DREAM | 0.4% | 240.18 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 104
PLACE
5 24.5
7 14
8 17.5
QUINELLA
5,7 163.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 53.5
5,8 61
7,8 31.5
FORECAST
5,7 371
TIERCE
5,7,8 1,466
TRIO
5,7,8 168
FIRST 4
5,7,8,11 317
QUARTET
5,7,8,11 9,046
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
6/5 652
6/7 49.5
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 52.5
A2 —