Sha Tin · 2020-11-14
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NAMJONG SINGS Closed strongly B 1.21.51 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 5 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | CHEERFUL DAYS Closed strongly Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 8 | 2.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | STUNNING IMPACT Closed strongly B- K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 5.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SUN OF MAKFI Closed strongly XB- K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 7 | 26.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE Closed strongly J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 11 | 29.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | BRAVE POWER Closed strongly CP/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 4 | 9.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | UNICORNBABY B/TT N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 1 | 15.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | PERFECT TO PLAY Closed strongly TT C Wong · C Fownes | C Wong | C Fownes | 12 | 212.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | CARE FREE PRINCE Led early B K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 2 | 20.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | THE DRIVE B/TT M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 6 | 42.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | HELAKU KNIGHT H B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 13 | 41.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | BRIGHT VISION B T Piccone · P F Yiu | T Piccone | P F Yiu | 14 | 38.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | MOMENTUM HAPPY B C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 10 | 7.5 | 9-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | ENJOY LIFE H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 9 | 125.0 | 14-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2020-11-14 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. NAMJONG SINGS, ridden by A Badel and trained by C S Shum, won by 1/2, with CHEERFUL DAYS second and STUNNING IMPACT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite CHEERFUL DAYS finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHEERFUL DAYS | 20.1% | 4.99 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | STUNNING IMPACT | 14.6% | 6.86 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | NAMJONG SINGS | 13.3% | 7.50 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | MOMENTUM HAPPY | 10.9% | 9.17 | 13 |
| 5 | 0 | BRAVE POWER | 8.0% | 12.54 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE | 6.8% | 14.69 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | BRIGHT VISION | 4.7% | 21.15 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | HELAKU KNIGHT | 4.1% | 24.20 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | THE DRIVE | 3.9% | 25.65 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | CARE FREE PRINCE | 3.2% | 31.37 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | UNICORNBABY | 3.1% | 32.43 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | ENJOY LIFE | 2.6% | 38.72 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | PERFECT TO PLAY | 2.5% | 40.09 | 8 |
| 14 | 0 | SUN OF MAKFI | 2.2% | 44.59 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 123.5
PLACE
6 32.5
9 12.5
10 19
QUINELLA
6,9 133.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 54
6,10 99
9,10 31
FORECAST
6,9 453
TIERCE
6,9,10 1,911
TRIO
6,9,10 183
FIRST 4
6,9,10,12 911
QUARTET
6,9,10,12 26,775
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 27
A1 —
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
10/6 811
10/9 39.5