沙田 · 2020-11-14
第 5場
2020-11-14沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、C S Shum訓練的NAMJONG SINGS勝出，贏出1/2。CHEERFUL DAYS獲得亞軍；STUNNING IMPACT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.3倍大熱門CHEERFUL DAYS跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | NAMJONG SINGS 後段發力 B 1.21.51 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 5 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | CHEERFUL DAYS 後段發力 Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 8 | 2.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | STUNNING IMPACT 後段發力 B- K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 5.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 12 | SUN OF MAKFI 後段發力 XB- K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 7 | 26.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | LEADING FORTUNE 後段發力 J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 11 | 29.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | BRAVE POWER 後段發力 CP/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 4 | 9.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | UNICORNBABY B/TT N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 1 | 15.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 14 | PERFECT TO PLAY 後段發力 TT C Wong · C Fownes | C Wong | C Fownes | 12 | 212.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 2 | CARE FREE PRINCE 早段領放 B K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 2 | 20.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 13 | THE DRIVE B/TT M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 6 | 42.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 3 | HELAKU KNIGHT H B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 13 | 41.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | BRIGHT VISION B T Piccone · P F Yiu | T Piccone | P F Yiu | 14 | 38.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 13 | 5 | MOMENTUM HAPPY B C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 10 | 7.5 | 9-3/4 |
| 14 | 8 | ENJOY LIFE H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 9 | 125.0 | 14-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | CHEERFUL DAYS | 20.1% | 4.99 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | STUNNING IMPACT | 14.6% | 6.86 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | NAMJONG SINGS | 13.3% | 7.50 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | MOMENTUM HAPPY | 10.9% | 9.17 | 13 |
| 5 | 11 | BRAVE POWER | 8.0% | 12.54 | 6 |
| 6 | 4 | LEADING FORTUNE | 6.8% | 14.69 | 5 |
| 7 | 1 | BRIGHT VISION | 4.7% | 21.15 | 12 |
| 8 | 3 | HELAKU KNIGHT | 4.1% | 24.20 | 11 |
| 9 | 13 | THE DRIVE | 3.9% | 25.65 | 10 |
| 10 | 2 | CARE FREE PRINCE | 3.2% | 31.37 | 9 |
| 11 | 7 | UNICORNBABY | 3.1% | 32.43 | 7 |
| 12 | 8 | ENJOY LIFE | 2.6% | 38.72 | 14 |
| 13 | 14 | PERFECT TO PLAY | 2.5% | 40.09 | 8 |
| 14 | 12 | SUN OF MAKFI | 2.2% | 44.59 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 123.5
PLACE
6 32.5
9 12.5
10 19
QUINELLA
6,9 133.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 54
6,10 99
9,10 31
FORECAST
6,9 453
TIERCE
6,9,10 1,911
TRIO
6,9,10 183
FIRST 4
6,9,10,12 911
QUARTET
6,9,10,12 26,775
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 27
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
10/6 811
10/9 39.5