沙田 · 2020-11-14
第 8場
2020-11-14沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、J Size訓練的PING HAI BRAVO勝出，贏出1/2。JOYFUL FORTUNE獲得亞軍；FLYING GENIUS獲得季軍。1.3倍大熱門JOYFUL FORTUNE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | PING HAI BRAVO E/TT1 0.56.75 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 2 | 22.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | JOYFUL FORTUNE Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 7 | 1.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | FLYING GENIUS B/TT A Hamelin · A S Cruz | A Hamelin | A S Cruz | 3 | 30.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | ALL FOR SOUTH B N Callan · F C Lor | N Callan | F C Lor | 8 | 32.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 13 | KURPANY TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 9 | 19.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | BABY B V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 5 | 141.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | BALTIC WHISPER TT C Wong · C S Shum | C Wong | C S Shum | 4 | 124.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | HARMONY SPIRIT CP-/XB/B1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 10 | 67.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 14 | SPARKLING KNIGHT J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 12 | 4.8 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | SHADOW RUNNER K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 200.0 | 11 |
| 11 | 1 | MR WEALTH H/P/TT1 K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 1 | 142.0 | 11 |
| 12 | 5 | DIVINE REGULUS TT1 K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 11 | 27.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | GOOD LUCK CHARM T Piccone · P F Yiu | T Piccone | P F Yiu | 13 | 188.0 | 16-1/4 |
| — | 10 | PIANILLO M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | JOYFUL FORTUNE | 45.3% | 2.21 | 2 |
| 2 | 14 | SPARKLING KNIGHT | 16.2% | 6.19 | 9 |
| 3 | 11 | PING HAI BRAVO | 8.0% | 12.50 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | ALL FOR SOUTH | 6.3% | 15.81 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | DIVINE REGULUS | 4.9% | 20.59 | 12 |
| 6 | 9 | FLYING GENIUS | 4.4% | 22.61 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | HARMONY SPIRIT | 4.2% | 23.58 | 8 |
| 8 | 13 | KURPANY | 3.9% | 25.90 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | MR WEALTH | 3.2% | 31.26 | 11 |
| 10 | 7 | BABY | 1.7% | 58.13 | 6 |
| 11 | 6 | GOOD LUCK CHARM | 0.9% | 108.30 | 13 |
| 12 | 4 | BALTIC WHISPER | 0.7% | 144.52 | 7 |
| 13 | 8 | SHADOW RUNNER | 0.3% | 336.25 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 222.5
PLACE
9 35.5
11 30
12 10.1
QUINELLA
11,12 84.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,11 218.5
9,12 50
11,12 39
FORECAST
11,12 511
TIERCE
11,12,9 5,387
TRIO
9,11,12 409
FIRST 4
3,9,11,12 939
QUARTET
11,12,9,3 47,703
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 62.5
A2 —
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
3/10,12 27.5
3/11 1,890.5