Sha Tin · 2020-11-14
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PING HAI BRAVO E/TT1 0.56.75 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 2 | 22.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | JOYFUL FORTUNE Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 7 | 1.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | FLYING GENIUS B/TT A Hamelin · A S Cruz | A Hamelin | A S Cruz | 3 | 30.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | ALL FOR SOUTH B N Callan · F C Lor | N Callan | F C Lor | 8 | 32.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | KURPANY TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 9 | 19.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | BABY B V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 5 | 141.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | BALTIC WHISPER TT C Wong · C S Shum | C Wong | C S Shum | 4 | 124.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | HARMONY SPIRIT CP-/XB/B1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 10 | 67.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | SPARKLING KNIGHT J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 12 | 4.8 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | SHADOW RUNNER K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 200.0 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | MR WEALTH H/P/TT1 K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 1 | 142.0 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | DIVINE REGULUS TT1 K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 11 | 27.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | GOOD LUCK CHARM T Piccone · P F Yiu | T Piccone | P F Yiu | 13 | 188.0 | 16-1/4 |
| — | 0 | PIANILLO M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2020-11-14 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. PING HAI BRAVO, ridden by A Badel and trained by J Size, won by 1/2, with JOYFUL FORTUNE second and FLYING GENIUS third. The 1.3 favourite JOYFUL FORTUNE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | JOYFUL FORTUNE | 45.3% | 2.21 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | SPARKLING KNIGHT | 16.2% | 6.19 | 9 |
| 3 | 0 | PING HAI BRAVO | 8.0% | 12.50 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | ALL FOR SOUTH | 6.3% | 15.81 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | DIVINE REGULUS | 4.9% | 20.59 | 12 |
| 6 | 0 | FLYING GENIUS | 4.4% | 22.61 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | HARMONY SPIRIT | 4.2% | 23.58 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | KURPANY | 3.9% | 25.90 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | MR WEALTH | 3.2% | 31.26 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | BABY | 1.7% | 58.13 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | GOOD LUCK CHARM | 0.9% | 108.30 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | BALTIC WHISPER | 0.7% | 144.52 | 7 |
| 13 | 0 | SHADOW RUNNER | 0.3% | 336.25 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 222.5
PLACE
9 35.5
11 30
12 10.1
QUINELLA
11,12 84.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,11 218.5
9,12 50
11,12 39
FORECAST
11,12 511
TIERCE
11,12,9 5,387
TRIO
9,11,12 409
FIRST 4
3,9,11,12 939
QUARTET
11,12,9,3 47,703
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 62.5
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
3/10,12 27.5
3/11 1,890.5