沙田 · 2020-12-13
第 9場
2020-12-13沙田第9場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、F C Lor訓練的WINNING DREAMER勝出，贏出1。BEAUTY APPLAUSE獲得亞軍；CALIFORNIA RAD獲得季軍。頭馬以1.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | WINNING DREAMER 1.08.85 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 1 | 1.8 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | BEAUTY APPLAUSE TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 2 | 19.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | CALIFORNIA RAD B/TT W Buick · A S Cruz | W Buick | A S Cruz | 12 | 34.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | DUKE WAI B K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | SHINING ACE B/TT1 R Moore · J Size | R Moore | J Size | 7 | 64.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | SKY FIELD TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 6 | 2.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 13 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE H/P/TT A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 9 | 66.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | HAPPY FUN B/TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 4 | 96.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | VICTORIAM Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 10 | 59.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | TEAM SPIRIT B/TT T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 13 | 114.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | PAS MALOTRU C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 3 | 36.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 8 | GUNNISON H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 5 | 218.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 12 | ALL IN MIND H/XB/TT A Hamelin · A S Cruz | A Hamelin | A S Cruz | 8 | 16.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 14 | BALTIC SUCCESS TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 14 | 263.0 | 10-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SKY FIELD | 39.4% | 2.54 | 6 |
| 2 | 3 | WINNING DREAMER | 24.1% | 4.15 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | BEAUTY APPLAUSE | 6.9% | 14.54 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | CALIFORNIA RAD | 5.1% | 19.53 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | DUKE WAI | 5.0% | 20.02 | 4 |
| 6 | 12 | ALL IN MIND | 3.6% | 27.72 | 13 |
| 7 | 4 | VICTORIAM | 3.3% | 29.89 | 9 |
| 8 | 13 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE | 3.1% | 31.78 | 7 |
| 9 | 2 | SHINING ACE | 2.8% | 35.79 | 5 |
| 10 | 14 | BALTIC SUCCESS | 1.9% | 52.86 | 14 |
| 11 | 11 | TEAM SPIRIT | 1.8% | 56.62 | 10 |
| 12 | 7 | PAS MALOTRU | 1.5% | 65.30 | 11 |
| 13 | 8 | GUNNISON | 0.8% | 124.47 | 12 |
| 14 | 9 | HAPPY FUN | 0.7% | 151.76 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 18.5
PLACE
3 11.5
5 56.5
10 30.5
QUINELLA
3,10 155.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 81.5
3,10 51.5
5,10 478.5
FORECAST
3,10 186
TIERCE
3,10,5 2,439
TRIO
3,5,10 833
FIRST 4
1,3,5,10 1,165
QUARTET
3,10,5,1 12,180
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 18.5
A2 —
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
8/3 206
8/10 558.5