跑馬地 · 2020-12-23
第 5場
2020-12-23跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Soumillon策騎、D E Ferraris訓練的HERE COMES TED勝出，贏出SH。REWARDING TOGETHER獲得亞軍；UNIVERSAL GO GO獲得季軍。頭馬以2.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | HERE COMES TED 1.09.55 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Soumillon · D E Ferraris | C Soumillon | D E Ferraris | 2 | 2.5 | SH |
| 2 | 3 | REWARDING TOGETHER B/TT J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 3 | 3.8 | SH |
| 3 | 10 | UNIVERSAL GO GO B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 7.6 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | LITTLE PLAYER CP1 Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 12 | 26.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | JOLLY GOOD HEART B-/XB- K H Chan · T P Yung | K H Chan | T P Yung | 4 | 87.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | VICTORIA GENERAL H B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 9 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | CHAMP PATROL H C L Chau · C Fownes | C L Chau | C Fownes | 11 | 18.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | FOCUS K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 5 | 42.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | WINNING WAYS H/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 6 | 19.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | STRONG ALLIANCE A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 10 | 158.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | SKY CHAMPION B1 N Callan · Y S Tsui | N Callan | Y S Tsui | 7 | 31.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | ONE HAPPY STAR M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 8 | 8.1 | 11 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | REWARDING TOGETHER | 37.5% | 2.67 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | HERE COMES TED | 21.4% | 4.68 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | ONE HAPPY STAR | 8.5% | 11.70 | 12 |
| 4 | 2 | CHAMP PATROL | 6.9% | 14.52 | 7 |
| 5 | 9 | LITTLE PLAYER | 6.7% | 14.86 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | UNIVERSAL GO GO | 4.7% | 21.06 | 3 |
| 7 | 12 | WINNING WAYS | 4.4% | 22.70 | 9 |
| 8 | 6 | SKY CHAMPION | 3.1% | 32.04 | 11 |
| 9 | 8 | VICTORIA GENERAL | 2.5% | 40.58 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | STRONG ALLIANCE | 2.3% | 43.13 | 10 |
| 11 | 5 | FOCUS | 1.1% | 93.85 | 8 |
| 12 | 1 | JOLLY GOOD HEART | 0.9% | 114.52 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 25
PLACE
3 15
4 12
10 23
QUINELLA
3,4 52.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 21.5
3,10 49.5
4,10 33.5
FORECAST
4,3 100
TIERCE
4,3,10 312
TRIO
3,4,10 87
FIRST 4
3,4,9,10 459
QUARTET
4,3,10,9 3,921
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,10,11/3,4,10 3,199
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 15
4TH DOUBLE
1/3 41
1/4 112