跑馬地 · 2020-12-23
第 4場
2020-12-23跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Soumillon策騎、P F Yiu訓練的HAPPY GOOD GUYS勝出，贏出SH。U W BROTHER獲得亞軍；TRAVEL DATUK獲得季軍。2.9倍大熱門UNITED WE STAND跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS B 0.57.06 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Soumillon · P F Yiu | C Soumillon | P F Yiu | 4 | 5.6 | SH |
| 2 | 11 | U W BROTHER J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 6 | 3.3 | SH |
| 3 | 10 | TRAVEL DATUK B M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 1 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | TOM'S STYLE XB1/TT N Callan · K W Lui | N Callan | K W Lui | 9 | 35.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | VIVA CHEF B M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 8 | 20.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | HAPPILY FRIENDS C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 12 | 34.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | UNITED WE STAND B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 3 | 2.9 | 3 |
| 8 | 2 | AFTER ME H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 7 | 69.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | BOND A STAR TT1 C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 2 | 114.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | ARDENODE TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 10 | 17.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 7 | WINNER'S HEART K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 5 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | SEA ELITE H1 A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 11 | 61.0 | 4-3/4 |
| — | 0 | NEXTMODEL C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | UNITED WE STAND | 35.3% | 2.83 | 7 |
| 2 | 11 | U W BROTHER | 25.2% | 3.96 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | WINNER'S HEART | 9.8% | 10.22 | 11 |
| 4 | 1 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS | 7.3% | 13.78 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | TRAVEL DATUK | 6.6% | 15.23 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | ARDENODE | 3.8% | 26.06 | 10 |
| 7 | 5 | SEA ELITE | 3.7% | 26.79 | 12 |
| 8 | 9 | HAPPILY FRIENDS | 3.1% | 32.77 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | VIVA CHEF | 2.2% | 45.27 | 5 |
| 10 | 3 | TOM'S STYLE | 1.6% | 61.23 | 4 |
| 11 | 2 | AFTER ME | 1.0% | 104.88 | 8 |
| 12 | 8 | BOND A STAR | 0.5% | 219.54 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 56
PLACE
1 17
10 24.5
11 14
QUINELLA
1,11 105.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 62
1,11 39
10,11 67.5
FORECAST
1,11 226
TIERCE
1,11,10 1,250
TRIO
1,10,11 256
FIRST 4
1,3,10,11 1,907
QUARTET
1,11,10,3 25,966
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 19
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
11/1 211
11/11 40